Nido Education Limited

ASX:NDO Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$180.9m

Nido Education Valuation

Is NDO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NDO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NDO (A$0.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NDO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NDO?

Key metric: As NDO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NDO. This is calculated by dividing NDO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NDO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesAU$134.20m
Market CapAU$180.88m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NDO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NDO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
SHJ Shine Justice
0.8x4.6%AU$149.5m
PFP Propel Funeral Partners
3.8x7.2%AU$785.0m
MFD Mayfield Childcare
0.4xn/aAU$35.4m
MPA Mad Paws Holdings
1.2xn/aAU$32.5m
NDO Nido Education
1.3x24.0%AU$180.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NDO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NDO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PS range
NDO 1.3xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NDO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NDO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NDO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio2.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NDO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NDO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.80
AU$1.17
+46.8%
5.2%AU$1.26AU$1.12n/a3
Nov ’25AU$0.81
AU$1.17
+45.0%
5.2%AU$1.26AU$1.12n/a3
Oct ’25AU$0.85
AU$1.17
+38.2%
5.2%AU$1.26AU$1.12n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.89
AU$1.17
+32.2%
5.5%AU$1.26AU$1.12n/a3
Aug ’25AU$0.92
AU$1.28
+39.4%
2.7%AU$1.33AU$1.25n/a3
Jul ’25AU$0.88
AU$1.28
+45.8%
2.7%AU$1.33AU$1.25n/a3
Jun ’25AU$0.93
AU$1.28
+37.9%
2.7%AU$1.33AU$1.25n/a3
May ’25AU$0.93
AU$1.38
+47.9%
5.0%AU$1.47AU$1.30n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.93
AU$1.38
+47.9%
5.0%AU$1.47AU$1.30n/a3
Mar ’25AU$0.95
AU$1.37
+44.4%
4.6%AU$1.45AU$1.30n/a3
Feb ’25AU$0.98
AU$1.32
+34.2%
1.2%AU$1.34AU$1.30n/a3
Jan ’25AU$1.00
AU$1.32
+32.1%
1.2%AU$1.34AU$1.30n/a3
Dec ’24AU$0.97
AU$1.33
+37.3%
0.6%AU$1.34AU$1.32n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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