Mayfield Childcare Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of MFD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

MFD (A$0.54) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (A$1.45)

Is MFD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MFD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MFD (A$0.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MFD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFD?

Key metric: As MFD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MFD. This is calculated by dividing MFD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MFD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.4x
Sales	AU$79.09m
Market Cap	AU$35.42m

MFD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	45.4x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MFD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MFD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.8x
MPA Mad Paws Holdings	1.1x	n/a	AU$30.9m
SHJ Shine Justice	0.8x	4.6%	AU$153.8m
NDO Nido Education	1.3x	24.0%	AU$174.1m
PFP Propel Funeral Partners	3.8x	7.2%	AU$804.3m
MFD Mayfield Childcare	0.4x	n/a	AU$35.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MFD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MFD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Consumer Services Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PS range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MFD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MFD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MFD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.4x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MFD's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.