Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On IDP Education Limited (ASX:IEL) Is Unlikely

ASX:IEL
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.7x IDP Education Limited (ASX:IEL) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, IDP Education has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for IDP Education

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:IEL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 14th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think IDP Education's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as IDP Education's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 292% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 7.1% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 17% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's alarming that IDP Education's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From IDP Education's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that IDP Education currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - IDP Education has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than IDP Education. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.