Woolworths Group Limited

CHIA:WOW Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$42.9b

Woolworths Group Valuation

Is WOW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of WOW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: WOW (A$35.08) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (A$42.25)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: WOW is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WOW?

Key metric: As WOW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WOW. This is calculated by dividing WOW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WOW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio71.7x
EarningsAU$598.00m
Market CapAU$42.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WOW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WOW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.7x
COL Coles Group
28.8x11.16%AU$29.2b
EDV Endeavour Group
14.3x8.17%AU$5.2b
CASY Casey's General Stores
44x10.30%US$27.9b
MTS Metcash
11.7x4.09%AU$3.2b
WOW Woolworths Group
71.7x26.92%AU$42.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WOW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (71.7x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WOW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Consumer Retailing Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WOW 71.7xIndustry Avg. 15.8xNo. of Companies53PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WOW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (71.7x) compared to the Global Consumer Retailing industry average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WOW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WOW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio71.7x
Fair PE Ratio40.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WOW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (71.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WOW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$35.08
AU$34.84
-0.70%
5.88%AU$39.00AU$31.50n/a16
May ’27AU$34.21
AU$34.68
+1.37%
5.73%AU$39.00AU$31.50n/a16
Apr ’27AU$36.59
AU$35.39
-3.29%
7.47%AU$39.00AU$29.00n/a16
Mar ’27AU$35.99
AU$35.39
-1.68%
7.47%AU$39.00AU$29.00n/a16
Feb ’27AU$31.02
AU$30.91
-0.34%
7.02%AU$37.00AU$28.25n/a16
Jan ’27AU$29.28
AU$30.45
+3.99%
4.34%AU$33.00AU$28.25n/a15
Dec ’26AU$29.16
AU$30.45
+4.42%
4.34%AU$33.00AU$28.25n/a15
Nov ’26AU$28.47
AU$30.35
+6.60%
4.39%AU$33.00AU$28.25n/a15
Oct ’26AU$26.47
AU$30.43
+14.96%
4.78%AU$33.70AU$28.25n/a15
Sep ’26AU$28.75
AU$30.51
+6.12%
4.67%AU$33.70AU$28.25n/a15
Aug ’26AU$31.34
AU$32.75
+4.51%
5.56%AU$36.30AU$30.00n/a15
Jul ’26AU$31.19
AU$32.49
+4.16%
5.59%AU$36.30AU$29.50n/a15
Jun ’26AU$31.73
AU$32.73
+3.17%
6.14%AU$36.50AU$29.50AU$35.0016
May ’26AU$31.93
AU$32.68
+2.33%
6.15%AU$36.50AU$29.50AU$34.2116
Apr ’26AU$29.89
AU$31.96
+6.94%
7.74%AU$37.00AU$28.50AU$36.5916
Mar ’26AU$30.03
AU$32.18
+7.14%
8.04%AU$37.00AU$28.50AU$35.9915
Feb ’26AU$30.54
AU$32.27
+5.67%
6.94%AU$36.70AU$28.50AU$31.0215
Jan ’26AU$30.42
AU$32.60
+7.18%
6.97%AU$36.70AU$28.50AU$29.2815
Dec ’25AU$30.18
AU$32.75
+8.53%
7.28%AU$37.30AU$28.50AU$29.1615
Nov ’25AU$29.94
AU$32.83
+9.64%
7.47%AU$37.30AU$28.50AU$28.4714
Oct ’25AU$33.42
AU$35.80
+7.13%
7.92%AU$40.10AU$27.50AU$26.4715
Sep ’25AU$35.68
AU$36.08
+1.13%
7.71%AU$40.10AU$27.50AU$28.7515
Aug ’25AU$34.90
AU$35.23
+0.95%
9.44%AU$40.20AU$27.50AU$31.3415
Jul ’25AU$33.49
AU$34.41
+2.75%
10.12%AU$40.20AU$27.50AU$31.1915
Jun ’25AU$31.31
AU$33.96
+8.46%
10.07%AU$39.90AU$27.50AU$31.7315
AU$34.83
Fair Value
0.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/03 12:28
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/03 00:00
Earnings2026/01/04
Annual Earnings2025/06/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Woolworths Group Limited is covered by 25 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Thomas KierathBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Jonathan SnapeBell Potter
David ErringtonBofA Global Research