GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) - Stock Price, News & Analysis

GNC Stock Overview

Operates as an agribusiness and processing company in Australasia, Asia, North America, and Europe. More details

GNC fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	3/6
Future Growth	2/6
Past Performance	1/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	3/6

Rewards

Trading at 36.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 16.02% per year

Risk Analysis

Dividend of 6.03% is not well covered by earnings or free cash flows

Profit margins (0.9%) are lower than last year (3%)

Large one-off items impacting financial results

GrainCorp Limited Competitors

Metcash

ASX:MTS

AU$3.4b

Endeavour Group

ASX:EDV

AU$7.8b

Coles Group

ASX:COL

AU$24.3b

SPAR Group

JSE:SPP

R25.0b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for GrainCorp
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	AU$7.96
52 Week High	AU$9.35
52 Week Low	AU$6.90
Beta	1.01
11 Month Change	-12.43%
3 Month Change	-7.44%
1 Year Change	2.71%
33 Year Change	17.75%
5 Year Change	-3.86%
Change since IPO	-12.17%

Recent updates

Improved Earnings Required Before GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Shares Find Their Feet

Mar 08

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Dec 05

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Jun 29

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jun 13

When Should You Buy GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Feb 17

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jan 18

Calculating The Fair Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Dec 20

Revenue Beat: GrainCorp Limited Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 7.4% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Nov 17

At AU$8.59, Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 12

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Aug 22

We Think GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Aug 04

GrainCorp's (ASX:GNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Jun 03

Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Potentially Undervalued?

May 13

Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Increase To Their GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Forecasts

Apr 18

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 40% Above Its Share Price

Feb 28

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Jan 19

Here's Why GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Dec 29

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 45% Above Its Share Price

Nov 19

Is GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Using Too Much Debt?

May 27

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Mar 25

Shareholder Returns

	GNC	AU Consumer Retailing	AU Market
7D	-7.3%	2.4%	1.5%
1Y	2.7%	-3.9%	17.2%

Return vs Industry: GNC exceeded the Australian Consumer Retailing industry which returned -3.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GNC underperformed the Australian Market which returned 17.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GNC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GNC volatility
GNC Average Weekly Movement	3.3%
Consumer Retailing Industry Average Movement	3.0%
Market Average Movement	8.6%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market	17.3%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market	3.4%

Stable Share Price: GNC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: GNC's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1916	n/a	Robert Spurway	www.graincorp.com.au

GrainCorp Limited operates as an agribusiness and processing company in Australasia, Asia, North America, and Europe. It operates through two segments, Agribusiness and Nutrition and Energy. The company handles and trades in wheat, barley, sorghum, corn, oilseeds, pulses, and organics, as well as animal fats, used cooking oils, and vegetable oils for animal feed purposes; handles, processes, and stores grains and oilseeds; refines, bleaches, deodorizes, and blends edible fats and oil products; and crushes, processes, manufactures, and distributes edible oils.

GrainCorp Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do GrainCorp's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GNC fundamental statistics
Market cap	AU$1.77b
Earnings (TTM)	AU$61.80m
Revenue (TTM)	AU$6.51b

28.5x

P/E Ratio

0.3x

P/S Ratio

Is GNC overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GNC income statement (TTM)
Revenue	AU$6.51b
Cost of Revenue	AU$5.86b
Gross Profit	AU$649.80m
Other Expenses	AU$588.00m
Earnings	AU$61.80m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

Nov 13, 2025

Earnings per share (EPS)	0.28
Gross Margin	9.99%
Net Profit Margin	0.95%
Debt/Equity Ratio	46.3%

How did GNC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.0%

Current Dividend Yield

101%

Payout Ratio

Does GNC pay a reliable dividends?

See GNC dividend history and benchmarks

When do you need to buy GNC by to receive an upcoming dividend?
GrainCorp dividend dates
Ex Dividend Date	Nov 27 2024
Dividend Pay Date	Dec 12 2024
Days until Ex dividend	6 days
Days until Dividend pay date	21 days

Does GNC pay a reliable dividends?

See GNC dividend history and benchmarks

GNC Stock Overview

Rewards

Risk Analysis

GrainCorp Limited Competitors

ASX:MTS

AU$3.4b

ASX:EDV

AU$7.8b

ASX:COL

AU$24.3b

JSE:SPP

R25.0b

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%, revenue upgraded

GrainCorp Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Nov 13, 2025

Final dividend of AU$0.24 announced

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

GrainCorp Limited Declares Final Cash Dividend for the Fiscal Year 2024, Payable on 12 December 2024

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%, revenue upgraded

GrainCorp Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Nov 13, 2025

Final dividend of AU$0.24 announced

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

GrainCorp Limited Declares Final Cash Dividend for the Fiscal Year 2024, Payable on 12 December 2024

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.24 per share

Price target increased by 7.2% to AU$9.10

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 28%

First half dividend of AU$0.24 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.22 (vs AU$0.90 in 1H 2023)

New minor risk - Financial position

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 45%

GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) completed the acquisition of Xf Australia Pty Ltd.

GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) completed the acquisition of Xf Australia Pty Ltd.

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Improved Earnings Required Before GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Shares Find Their Feet

GrainCorp Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Nov 14, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

GrainCorp Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 14, 2024

CEO, MD & Director recently sold AU$2.0m worth of stock

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.30 per share at 7.0% yield

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

GrainCorp Limited Announces Final Franked Ordinary Dividend, Payable on December 14, 2023

GrainCorp Limited Announces Board Appointments, Effective 1 December 2023

Graincorp Limited Provides Update on Proceeding Against Graincorp Oilseeds Pty Ltd, A Wholly Owned Subsidiary of Graincorp

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.24 per share at 4.9% yield

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 10%

GrainCorp Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.90 (vs AU$1.08 in 1H 2022)

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

When Should You Buy GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

GrainCorp Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on May 11, 2023

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Calculating The Fair Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$50k worth of stock

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$84k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.30 per share

Revenue Beat: GrainCorp Limited Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 7.4% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

GrainCorp Limited Announces Special Dividend for the Six Months Ended September 30, 2022, Payable on December 14, 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

At AU$8.59, Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Worth Looking At Closely?

GrainCorp Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 16, 2023

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

GrainCorp Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

We Think GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.24 per share