GrainCorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

GrainCorp's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.1% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 16% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 15.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.7% in 3 years.

Key information

16.0%

Earnings growth rate

15.6%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth	17.5%
Revenue growth rate	-2.1%
Future return on equity	7.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Improved Earnings Required Before GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Shares Find Their Feet

Mar 08

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Dec 05

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Jun 29

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jun 13

When Should You Buy GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Feb 17

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jan 18

Calculating The Fair Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Dec 20

Revenue Beat: GrainCorp Limited Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 7.4% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Nov 17

At AU$8.59, Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 12

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Aug 22

We Think GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Aug 04

GrainCorp's (ASX:GNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Jun 03

Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Potentially Undervalued?

May 13

Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Increase To Their GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Forecasts

Apr 18

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 40% Above Its Share Price

Feb 28

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Jan 19

Here's Why GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Dec 29

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 45% Above Its Share Price

Nov 19

Is GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Using Too Much Debt?

May 27

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Mar 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:GNC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
9/30/2027	6,222	121	131	213	10
9/30/2026	6,183	103	311	244	10
9/30/2025	6,991	98	195	149	10
9/30/2024	6,507	62	76	131	N/A
6/30/2024	6,790	80	198	248	N/A
3/31/2024	7,072	99	320	365	N/A
12/31/2023	7,651	174	414	470	N/A
9/30/2023	8,229	250	509	575	N/A
6/30/2023	8,398	292	489	568	N/A
3/31/2023	8,566	335	470	561	N/A
12/31/2022	8,217	358	416	502	N/A
9/30/2022	7,868	380	363	444	N/A
6/30/2022	7,319	358	190	257	N/A
3/31/2022	6,770	335	17	70	N/A
12/31/2021	6,131	237	69	123	N/A
9/30/2021	5,492	139	121	176	N/A
3/31/2021	4,265	8	7	67	N/A
12/31/2020	3,963	22	-20	49	N/A
9/30/2020	3,661	35	-47	31	N/A
3/31/2020	3,598	-24	-6	85	N/A
12/31/2019	3,565	-107	-113	-26	N/A
9/30/2019	3,533	-189	-220	-136	N/A
6/30/2019	3,847	-121	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2019	4,161	-53	-77	40	N/A
12/31/2018	4,207	9	-18	112	N/A
9/30/2018	4,253	71	41	183	N/A
6/30/2018	4,180	71	N/A	205	N/A
3/31/2018	4,107	71	N/A	227	N/A
12/31/2017	4,341	98	N/A	264	N/A
9/30/2017	4,576	125	N/A	301	N/A
6/30/2017	4,560	113	N/A	285	N/A
3/31/2017	4,545	101	N/A	270	N/A
12/31/2016	4,351	66	N/A	211	N/A
9/30/2016	4,158	31	N/A	152	N/A
6/30/2016	4,169	27	N/A	167	N/A
3/31/2016	4,180	22	N/A	182	N/A
12/31/2015	4,133	27	N/A	227	N/A
9/30/2015	4,086	32	N/A	271	N/A
6/30/2015	4,050	31	N/A	219	N/A
3/31/2015	4,014	31	N/A	166	N/A
12/31/2014	4,054	40	N/A	169	N/A
9/30/2014	4,094	50	N/A	171	N/A
6/30/2014	4,125	77	N/A	173	N/A
3/31/2014	4,156	103	N/A	176	N/A
12/31/2013	4,309	122	N/A	199	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GNC's forecast earnings growth (16% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: GNC's earnings (16% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GNC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GNC's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GNC's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GNC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.7%).

GrainCorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%, revenue upgraded

Price target increased by 7.2% to AU$9.10

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 28%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 45%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 10%

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%, revenue upgraded

GrainCorp Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Nov 13, 2025

Final dividend of AU$0.24 announced

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

GrainCorp Limited Declares Final Cash Dividend for the Fiscal Year 2024, Payable on 12 December 2024

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.24 per share

Price target increased by 7.2% to AU$9.10

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 28%

First half dividend of AU$0.24 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.22 (vs AU$0.90 in 1H 2023)

New minor risk - Financial position

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 45%

GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) completed the acquisition of Xf Australia Pty Ltd.

GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) completed the acquisition of Xf Australia Pty Ltd.

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Improved Earnings Required Before GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Shares Find Their Feet

GrainCorp Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Nov 14, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

GrainCorp Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 14, 2024

CEO, MD & Director recently sold AU$2.0m worth of stock

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.30 per share at 7.0% yield

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

GrainCorp Limited Announces Final Franked Ordinary Dividend, Payable on December 14, 2023

GrainCorp Limited Announces Board Appointments, Effective 1 December 2023

Graincorp Limited Provides Update on Proceeding Against Graincorp Oilseeds Pty Ltd, A Wholly Owned Subsidiary of Graincorp

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.24 per share at 4.9% yield

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 10%

GrainCorp Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.90 (vs AU$1.08 in 1H 2022)

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

When Should You Buy GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

GrainCorp Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on May 11, 2023

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Calculating The Fair Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$50k worth of stock

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$84k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.30 per share

Revenue Beat: GrainCorp Limited Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 7.4% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

GrainCorp Limited Announces Special Dividend for the Six Months Ended September 30, 2022, Payable on December 14, 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

At AU$8.59, Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Worth Looking At Closely?

GrainCorp Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 16, 2023

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

GrainCorp Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

We Think GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.24 per share

GrainCorp's (ASX:GNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Potentially Undervalued?

Price target increased to AU$9.56

First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

GrainCorp Limited Announces Interim Ordinary Fully Franked Dividend for Half-Year Ended 31 March 2022, Payable on 21 July 2022

Price target increased to AU$8.87

GrainCorp Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Nov 16, 2022

Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Increase To Their GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Forecasts

Price target increased to AU$8.71

Investor sentiment improved over the past week