GrainCorp Limited

ASX:GNC Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.6b

GrainCorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

GrainCorp's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.1% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 15.9% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 15.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.7% in 3 years.

Key information

15.9%

Earnings growth rate

15.7%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth17.7%
Revenue growth rate-2.1%
Future return on equity7.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated03 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Dec 17
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Nov 05
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Sep 13
GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Apr 02
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Improved Earnings Required Before GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Shares Find Their Feet

Mar 08
Improved Earnings Required Before GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Shares Find Their Feet

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Dec 05
GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Jun 29
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jun 13
GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

When Should You Buy GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Feb 17
When Should You Buy GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jan 18
GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Calculating The Fair Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Dec 20
Calculating The Fair Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Revenue Beat: GrainCorp Limited Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 7.4% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Nov 17
Revenue Beat: GrainCorp Limited Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 7.4% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

At AU$8.59, Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 12
At AU$8.59, Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Worth Looking At Closely?

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

Aug 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)

We Think GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Aug 04
We Think GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

GrainCorp's (ASX:GNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Jun 03
GrainCorp's (ASX:GNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Potentially Undervalued?

May 13
Is GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Potentially Undervalued?

Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Increase To Their GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Forecasts

Apr 18
Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Increase To Their GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC) Forecasts

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 40% Above Its Share Price

Feb 28
GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 40% Above Its Share Price

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Jan 19
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GrainCorp Limited (ASX:GNC)?

Here's Why GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Dec 29
Here's Why GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 45% Above Its Share Price

Nov 19
GrainCorp Limited's (ASX:GNC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 45% Above Its Share Price

Is GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Using Too Much Debt?

May 27
Is GrainCorp (ASX:GNC) Using Too Much Debt?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:GNC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/20276,21511912821110
9/30/20266,17910133824210
9/30/20257,0009613715510
9/30/20246,5076276131N/A
6/30/20246,79080198248N/A
3/31/20247,07299320365N/A
12/31/20237,651174414470N/A
9/30/20238,229250509575N/A
6/30/20238,398292489568N/A
3/31/20238,566335470561N/A
12/31/20228,217358416502N/A
9/30/20227,868380363444N/A
6/30/20227,319358190257N/A
3/31/20226,7703351770N/A
12/31/20216,13123769123N/A
9/30/20215,492139121176N/A
3/31/20214,2658767N/A
12/31/20203,96322-2049N/A
9/30/20203,66135-4731N/A
3/31/20203,598-24-685N/A
12/31/20193,565-107-113-26N/A
9/30/20193,533-189-220-136N/A
6/30/20193,847-121N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20194,161-53-7740N/A
12/31/20184,2079-18112N/A
9/30/20184,2537141183N/A
6/30/20184,18071N/A205N/A
3/31/20184,10771N/A227N/A
12/31/20174,34198N/A264N/A
9/30/20174,576125N/A301N/A
6/30/20174,560113N/A285N/A
3/31/20174,545101N/A270N/A
12/31/20164,35166N/A211N/A
9/30/20164,15831N/A152N/A
6/30/20164,16927N/A167N/A
3/31/20164,18022N/A182N/A
12/31/20154,13327N/A227N/A
9/30/20154,08632N/A271N/A
6/30/20154,05031N/A219N/A
3/31/20154,01431N/A166N/A
12/31/20144,05440N/A169N/A
9/30/20144,09450N/A171N/A
6/30/20144,12577N/A173N/A
3/31/20144,156103N/A176N/A
12/31/20134,309122N/A199N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GNC's forecast earnings growth (15.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: GNC's earnings (15.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GNC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GNC's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GNC's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GNC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 21:05
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

GrainCorp Limited is covered by 23 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dennis HulmeAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Jonathan SnapeBell Potter