Endeavour Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Endeavour Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.2% and 2.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.5% in 3 years.
Key information
8.2%
Earnings growth rate
8.26%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Retailing earnings growth | 19.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.3% |
| Future return on equity | 10.50% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 03 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Aug 28
Analysts Are Updating Their Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) Estimates After Its Yearly Results
Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 3.8...Analysis Article • Aug 19
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) After Its Full-Year Results
Last week, you might have seen that Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) released its annual result to the market. The...Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 04
EDV: Cost Savings And Asset Restructure Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Endeavour Group to A$4.68 from A$5.00. This reflects updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E following recent cautious Street research.
Narrative Update • May 21
EDV: Margin Resilience And Dividend Outlook Will Shape Future Shareholder Appeal
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Endeavour Group to A$3.61 from A$3.87, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent bearish Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a fresh bearish initiation from Goldman Sachs, has pushed analysts to revisit how much they are willing to pay for Endeavour Group shares relative to earnings and cash flow.Narrative Update • May 05
EDV: Future Cash Generation And Dividends Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered their A$ fair value estimate for Endeavour Group from about A$5.12 to around A$5.00, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and modestly softer expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Despite some cautious views in the market, there are still clear pockets of optimism around Endeavour Group that focus on execution, balance sheet strength and long term earnings potential.Narrative Update • Apr 21
EDV: Improved Execution And Capital Discipline Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their Endeavour Group price target to A$5.12 from A$5.25, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin forecasts, and a lower future P/E multiple following recent bearish Street research. Analyst Commentary Despite the recent adjustment to the A$5.12 price target, some research still highlights potential upside drivers that could matter for long term holders.
Narrative Update • Apr 06
EDV: Promotion-Led Trading And Extra Investment Will Keep Earnings Risk Elevated
Narrative Update Analysts have slightly raised their A$ price target for Endeavour Group, citing a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple and updated views from both bearish and bullish research that balance near term trading risks with potential stability in earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Endeavour Group reflects a split view, with some analysts turning more constructive while others remain cautious.Narrative Update • Mar 23
EDV: Recent Trading Update And Citi Upgrade Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Endeavour Group has been revised to A$5.25 from A$5.50, with analysts citing the recent Citi upgrade to Buy and the view that the latest trading update could be the last near term downgrade, unless conditions weaken further or extra investment is needed. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning into a more constructive view on Endeavour Group, pointing to recent stock calls that frame the latest trading update as a potential clearing event rather than the start of a new downgrade cycle.Narrative Update • Mar 08
EDV: Promotion Pressures And Possible Extra Investment Will Keep Earnings Risk Elevated
Analysts have nudged Endeavour Group's implied value slightly lower, trimming the fair value estimate. They highlighted Citi's A$0.18 increase in its price target to A$4.10 as a sign that recent promotion-driven weakness may be stabilising, unless trading conditions soften further or additional investment is required.Narrative Update • Feb 22
EDV: Promotion Dependence Will Keep Earnings Risk Elevated Despite Recent Upgrade
Analysts have lifted their price target on Endeavour Group to A$4.10 from A$3.92, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, and a view that recent downgrades linked to promotions may now be largely reflected in expectations, unless trading conditions or investment needs change further. Analyst Commentary Recent research has framed the higher A$4.10 price target as a recalibration of assumptions rather than a clear signal of strong near term momentum.Narrative Update • Feb 08
EDV: Promotion Reliance And Softer Margins Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have lifted their price target for Endeavour Group to A$4.10 from A$3.92, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after recent company updates that some see as potentially marking a pause in earnings downgrades, unless trading conditions or investment needs change further. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests some analysts see the latest company update as a possible pause in earnings downgrades, provided trading conditions hold and no additional investment burden emerges.Narrative Update • Jan 25
EDV: Promotion Trends And Recent Upgrade Will Shape Future Shareholder Appeal
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Endeavour Group to A$3.87 from A$4.10, reflecting slightly lower profit margin assumptions, even as they factor in modestly higher revenue growth and a small uplift in the future P/E multiple following recent upgrade-driven research. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive stance on Endeavour Group, with bullish analysts lifting their price targets and assigning a higher P/E multiple, even as they acknowledge near term headwinds from promotion led margin pressure.Narrative Update • Jan 11
EDV: Future Margins And P/E Assumptions Will Support Bullish Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Endeavour Group to $5.50, reflecting small updates to assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains effectively unchanged at A$5.50 per share.Narrative Update • Dec 27
EDV: Future Earnings Multiple And Margins Will Support Bullish Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target for Endeavour Group slightly lower to reflect a modest trimming of fair value estimates to about $5.50, even as updated forecasts factor in marginally higher revenue growth, stronger profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple under a slightly higher discount rate. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate eased slightly from A$5.62 to about A$5.50 per share, reflecting a modest reduction in intrinsic value.Narrative Update • Dec 13
EDV: Higher Required Returns Will Pressure Margins And Share Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Endeavour Group to approximately $3.30 from about $3.60, citing slightly softer expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples under a modestly higher discount rate. Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target: reduced modestly from A$3.60 to A$3.30, reflecting a lower assessed fair value for Endeavour Group shares.Narrative Update • Nov 28
EDV: Dividend Announcement And Payout Dates Will Strengthen Shareholder Appeal
Analysts have made a minimal upward revision to Endeavour Group's price target, citing subtle adjustments in underlying discount rate and profit margin assumptions while maintaining their overall fair value outlook. Valuation Changes Fair Value has remained unchanged at A$4.10 per share.Narrative Update • Nov 14
EDV: Dividend Announcement And Payout Dates Will Strengthen Shareholder Appeal
Analysts have reduced their price target for Endeavour Group, lowering the fair value estimate from $4.33 to $4.10. They cite slightly higher discount rates and modest declines in projected revenue growth and profit margins.Analysis Article • Nov 04
Is Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Narrative Update • Oct 31
EDV: Leadership Transition And Dividend Will Drive Returns Into 2025
Analysts have revised their price target for Endeavour Group slightly downward from $4.43 to $4.33. They cited marginally lower forecasts for revenue growth and profit margin in their latest outlook.Analysis Article • Sep 29
Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.1x Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) may be sending bullish signals...Narrative Update • Sep 04
Australian Hospitality And Gaming Will Flourish On Digital Progress
With no material changes in key valuation metrics such as the discount rate (7.62%) and future P/E (18.41x), the consensus analyst price target for Endeavour Group has remained steady at A$4.43. What's in the News Declared a fully franked dividend of AUD 0.063 per share for the six months ended June 29, 2025.Analysis Article • Aug 27
Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) Is Reducing Its Dividend To A$0.063
The board of Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) has announced it will be reducing its dividend by 16% from last year's...Analysis Article • Jul 20
Is There An Opportunity With Endeavour Group Limited's (ASX:EDV) 26% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Endeavour Group fair value estimate is AU$5.46 Current share...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Endeavour Group's (ASX:EDV) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a...Analysis Article • Apr 22
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Endeavour Group Limited's (ASX:EDV) P/E Ratio
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in Australia, you could be forgiven for feeling...Analysis Article • Apr 07
Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Analysis Article • Mar 21
Returns At Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) Are On The Way Up
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other...Analysis Article • Mar 06
There May Be Some Bright Spots In Endeavour Group's (ASX:EDV) Earnings
The most recent earnings report from Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) was disappointing for shareholders. Despite...Analysis Article • Mar 03
Endeavour Group's (ASX:EDV) Dividend Will Be A$0.125
The board of Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 10th of April, with...Analysis Article • Feb 16
Are Investors Undervaluing Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) By 22%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Endeavour Group fair value estimate is AU$5.67 Endeavour Group...
New Narrative • Feb 09
endeavourGO Program Will Streamline Operations And Boost Shareholder Value
Endeavour Group's cost optimization and streamlined operations are likely to enhance net margins and shareholder returns positively over the long term.Analysis Article • Dec 11
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Endeavour Group's (ASX:EDV) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...Analysis Article • Nov 08
Endeavour Group Limited's (ASX:EDV) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
Endeavour Group Limited's ( ASX:EDV ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.5x might make it look like a buy right...Analysis Article • Oct 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) Is Using Debt Extensively
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Oct 03
Is Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) Trading At A 22% Discount?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Endeavour Group fair value estimate is AU$6.31 Current share...Analysis Article • Aug 28
Analysts Are Updating Their Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) Estimates After Its Yearly Results
Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 3.8...Analysis Article • Jul 19
The Return Trends At Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) Look Promising
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common...Analysis Article • Jun 27
Is There An Opportunity With Endeavour Group Limited's (ASX:EDV) 29% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Endeavour Group's estimated fair value is AU$7.19 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Endeavour...Analysis Article • May 22
Improved Earnings Required Before Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) Shares Find Their Feet
Endeavour Group Limited's ( ASX:EDV ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.6x might make it look like a buy right...Analysis Article • Apr 07
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV)
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Mar 20
Is Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Jan 02
What Endeavour Group Limited's (ASX:EDV) P/E Is Not Telling You
It's not a stretch to say that Endeavour Group Limited's ( ASX:EDV ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.7x right...Analysis Article • Dec 12
Is There An Opportunity With Endeavour Group Limited's (ASX:EDV) 34% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Endeavour Group fair value estimate is AU$7.66 Endeavour...Analysis Article • Oct 20
The Returns At Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) Aren't Growing
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Sep 09
An Intrinsic Calculation For Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) Suggests It's 31% Undervalued
Key Insights Endeavour Group's estimated fair value is AU$7.59 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Endeavour...Analysis Article • Aug 22
Endeavour Group's (ASX:EDV) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) has announced it will be reducing its dividend by 2.6% from last...Analysis Article • Aug 19
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) After Its Full-Year Results
Last week, you might have seen that Endeavour Group Limited ( ASX:EDV ) released its annual result to the market. The...Analysis Article • Aug 17
Investor Optimism Abounds Endeavour Group Limited (ASX:EDV) But Growth Is Lacking
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 12,805 | 425 | 644 | 1,140 | 15 |
| 6/30/2027 | 12,453 | 377 | 762 | 1,316 | 16 |
| 6/30/2026 | 12,192 | 342 | 126 | 661 | 16 |
| 1/4/2026 | 12,119 | 375 | 648 | 1,111 | N/A |
| 10/4/2025 | 12,089 | 401 | 732 | 1,131 | N/A |
| 6/29/2025 | 12,058 | 426 | 816 | 1,150 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 12,161 | 443 | 905 | 1,241 | N/A |
| 1/5/2025 | 12,263 | 459 | 993 | 1,332 | N/A |
| 10/5/2024 | 12,286 | 486 | 892 | 1,271 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 12,309 | 512 | 791 | 1,210 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 12,179 | 514 | 684 | 1,124 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 12,049 | 516 | 576 | 1,038 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 11,967 | 523 | 468 | 903 | N/A |
| 6/25/2023 | 11,884 | 529 | 359 | 767 | N/A |
| 3/25/2023 | 11,823 | 539 | 345 | 714 | N/A |
| 1/1/2023 | 11,762 | 548 | 331 | 660 | N/A |
| 10/1/2022 | 11,680 | 522 | 498 | 805 | N/A |
| 6/26/2022 | 11,597 | 495 | 664 | 949 | N/A |
| 3/26/2022 | 11,586 | 491 | 769 | 1,054 | N/A |
| 1/2/2022 | 11,575 | 487 | 873 | 1,159 | N/A |
| 10/2/2021 | 11,585 | 466 | 854 | 1,137 | N/A |
| 6/27/2021 | 11,595 | 445 | 835 | 1,114 | N/A |
| 3/27/2021 | 8,191 | 177 | 772 | 963 | N/A |
| 1/3/2021 | 4,786 | -92 | 708 | 812 | N/A |
| 10/3/2020 | 4,464 | -78 | 577 | 686 | N/A |
| 6/28/2020 | 4,141 | -64 | 445 | 560 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 10,294 | 445 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/24/2018 | 9,795 | 462 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: EDV's forecast earnings growth (8.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).
Earnings vs Market: EDV's earnings (8.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: EDV's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: EDV's revenue (2.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (6.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: EDV's revenue (2.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: EDV's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.5%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/05 23:37 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/04 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/29 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Endeavour Group Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Thomas Kierath | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Baxter Kirk | Bell Potter |
| David Errington | BofA Global Research |