Breville Group Valuation

Is BRG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BRG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BRG (A$32.51) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$29.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BRG is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BRG?

Key metric: As BRG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BRG. This is calculated by dividing BRG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BRG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	39.5x
Earnings	AU$118.51m
Market Cap	AU$4.68b

BRG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	23.6x
PEG Ratio	3.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BRG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BRG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	11.6x
SHM Shriro Holdings	10x	n/a	AU$72.8m
5947 Rinnai	14.6x	4.6%	JP¥451.9b
002508 Hangzhou Robam Appliances	13.2x	8.0%	CN¥20.7b
A021240 COWAY	8.6x	7.9%	₩4.5t
BRG Breville Group	39.5x	10.0%	AU$4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.5x) compared to the peer average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BRG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Consumer Durables Industry?

17 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

17 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.5x) compared to the Global Consumer Durables industry average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BRG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BRG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	39.5x
Fair PE Ratio	39.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BRG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	AU$32.51	AU$30.48 -6.3%	15.4%	AU$36.51	AU$21.00	n/a	15
Nov ’25	AU$31.13	AU$30.48 -2.1%	15.4%	AU$36.51	AU$21.00	n/a	15
Oct ’25	AU$34.96	AU$30.05 -14.1%	15.2%	AU$35.10	AU$21.00	n/a	14
Sep ’25	AU$33.58	AU$29.53 -12.0%	16.3%	AU$35.10	AU$21.00	n/a	15
Aug ’25	AU$29.92	AU$25.80 -13.8%	11.9%	AU$31.30	AU$20.00	n/a	15
Jul ’25	AU$26.68	AU$25.60 -4.0%	11.5%	AU$31.30	AU$20.00	n/a	15
Jun ’25	AU$26.65	AU$25.60 -3.9%	11.5%	AU$31.30	AU$20.00	n/a	15
May ’25	AU$25.13	AU$25.45 +1.3%	11.2%	AU$31.30	AU$20.00	n/a	15
Apr ’25	AU$27.49	AU$25.39 -7.6%	11.1%	AU$31.30	AU$20.00	n/a	15
Mar ’25	AU$26.48	AU$25.09 -5.2%	9.7%	AU$28.30	AU$20.00	n/a	15
Feb ’25	AU$26.60	AU$24.87 -6.5%	12.7%	AU$30.20	AU$18.35	n/a	14
Jan ’25	AU$27.23	AU$24.46 -10.2%	11.9%	AU$29.00	AU$18.35	n/a	14
Dec ’24	AU$23.78	AU$24.39 +2.6%	11.8%	AU$29.00	AU$18.35	n/a	14
Nov ’24	AU$21.58	AU$24.30 +12.6%	11.8%	AU$29.00	AU$18.35	AU$31.13	14
Oct ’24	AU$22.00	AU$24.02 +9.2%	12.5%	AU$29.00	AU$18.35	AU$34.96	13
Sep ’24	AU$24.54	AU$23.57 -3.9%	11.6%	AU$29.00	AU$18.35	AU$33.58	15
Aug ’24	AU$22.76	AU$22.13 -2.8%	8.8%	AU$25.00	AU$18.50	AU$29.92	15
Jul ’24	AU$19.94	AU$21.87 +9.7%	9.8%	AU$25.00	AU$17.39	AU$26.68	16
Jun ’24	AU$19.45	AU$21.88 +12.5%	9.9%	AU$25.00	AU$17.39	AU$26.65	14
May ’24	AU$20.70	AU$21.86 +5.6%	9.8%	AU$25.00	AU$17.39	AU$25.13	14
Apr ’24	AU$19.10	AU$21.93 +14.8%	9.4%	AU$25.00	AU$17.39	AU$27.49	15
Mar ’24	AU$20.68	AU$22.10 +6.9%	8.9%	AU$25.00	AU$17.39	AU$26.48	14
Feb ’24	AU$22.87	AU$22.81 -0.2%	9.8%	AU$26.00	AU$18.61	AU$26.60	13
Jan ’24	AU$18.35	AU$22.48 +22.5%	10.1%	AU$26.00	AU$18.61	AU$27.23	13
Dec ’23	AU$20.60	AU$22.76 +10.5%	8.7%	AU$26.00	AU$19.20	AU$23.78	13
Nov ’23	AU$20.45	AU$23.23 +13.6%	7.6%	AU$26.00	AU$20.00	AU$21.58	13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.