Rinnai Valuation

Is 5947 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5947 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5947 (¥3530) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3275.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5947 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5947?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

5947 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.8x
PEG Ratio3.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5947's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5947 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.5x
7965 Zojirushi
19.7x1.2%JP¥110.3b
5946 Chofu Seisakusho
21.4xn/aJP¥66.9b
6788 Nihon Trim
12.1x13.8%JP¥27.6b
5909 Corona
20.9xn/aJP¥27.9b
5947 Rinnai
16.5x4.7%JP¥504.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5947 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the peer average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5947's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5947 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the JP Consumer Durables industry average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5947's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5947 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5947 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5947 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,530.00
JP¥4,095.00
+16.0%
12.7%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Oct ’25JP¥3,575.00
JP¥4,095.00
+14.5%
12.7%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥3,271.00
JP¥4,095.00
+25.2%
12.7%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Aug ’25JP¥3,626.00
JP¥4,116.25
+13.5%
13.1%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥3,664.00
JP¥4,141.25
+13.0%
14.0%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥3,769.00
JP¥3,947.50
+4.7%
14.9%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥3,409.00
JP¥3,653.75
+7.2%
11.6%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥3,449.00
JP¥3,616.25
+4.8%
13.1%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,900.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥3,511.00
JP¥3,560.00
+1.4%
14.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,850.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥3,269.00
JP¥3,522.50
+7.8%
13.8%JP¥4,250.00JP¥2,850.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥3,268.00
JP¥3,318.57
+1.5%
10.8%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,850.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥3,034.00
JP¥3,435.00
+13.2%
13.2%JP¥4,250.00JP¥2,850.00n/a8
Nov ’24JP¥2,808.50
JP¥3,393.75
+20.8%
12.3%JP¥3,890.00JP¥2,800.00n/a8
Oct ’24JP¥2,800.00
JP¥3,393.75
+21.2%
12.3%JP¥3,890.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,575.008
Sep ’24JP¥2,853.00
JP¥3,418.75
+19.8%
11.9%JP¥3,890.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,271.008
Aug ’24JP¥3,118.00
JP¥3,593.75
+15.3%
13.5%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,626.008
Jul ’24JP¥3,131.00
JP¥3,769.00
+20.4%
12.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,664.007
Jun ’24JP¥2,942.00
JP¥3,826.14
+30.1%
13.8%JP¥4,667.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,769.007
May ’24JP¥3,330.00
JP¥3,976.06
+19.4%
14.9%JP¥4,667.00JP¥3,033.00JP¥3,409.006
Apr ’24JP¥3,235.00
JP¥3,927.14
+21.4%
14.3%JP¥4,667.00JP¥3,033.00JP¥3,449.007
Mar ’24JP¥3,190.00
JP¥3,915.42
+22.7%
13.4%JP¥4,666.67JP¥3,033.33JP¥3,511.008
Feb ’24JP¥3,330.00
JP¥3,944.58
+18.5%
13.2%JP¥4,666.67JP¥2,966.67JP¥3,269.008
Jan ’24JP¥3,276.67
JP¥3,969.58
+21.1%
13.4%JP¥4,666.67JP¥2,933.33JP¥3,268.008
Dec ’23JP¥3,393.33
JP¥3,948.75
+16.4%
12.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,933.33JP¥3,034.008
Nov ’23JP¥3,340.00
JP¥3,900.00
+16.8%
11.3%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,233.33JP¥2,808.508
Oct ’23JP¥3,463.33
JP¥3,900.00
+12.6%
11.3%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,233.33JP¥2,800.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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