AMA Group Limited

CHIA:AMA Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$282.2m

AMA Group Valuation

Is AMA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMA (A$0.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMA?

Key metric: As AMA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AMA. This is calculated by dividing AMA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AMA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesAU$894.76m
Market CapAU$282.17m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AMA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AMA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
SUG Sugar Terminals
3.2xn/aAU$374.4m
AIM Ai-Media Technologies
2.8x9.2%AU$187.9m
MIL Millennium Services Group
0.2x6.1%AU$54.0m
STG Straker
0.8x0.4%AU$35.4m
AMA AMA Group
0.3x4.6%AU$282.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AMA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AMA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Commercial Services Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MIL Millennium Services Group
0.2x6.1%US$35.72m
AVD AVADA Group
0.2xn/aUS$25.55m
SSH SSH Group
0.1xn/aUS$3.44m
ECG eCargo Holdings
0.09xn/aUS$2.05m
AMA 0.3xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies5PS01.22.43.64.86+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AMA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Australian Commercial Services industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AMA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.057
AU$0.084
+47.9%
14.6%AU$0.10AU$0.07n/a3
Dec ’25AU$0.059
AU$0.084
+44.2%
14.6%AU$0.10AU$0.07n/a3
Nov ’25AU$0.063
AU$0.084
+33.9%
14.6%AU$0.10AU$0.07n/a3
Oct ’25AU$0.058
AU$0.097
+66.7%
21.3%AU$0.12AU$0.07n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.056
AU$0.097
+72.6%
21.3%AU$0.12AU$0.07n/a3
Aug ’25AU$0.05
AU$0.11
+120.0%
26.8%AU$0.14AU$0.07n/a3
Jul ’25AU$0.044
AU$0.11
+150.0%
26.8%AU$0.14AU$0.07n/a3
Jun ’25AU$0.046
AU$0.13
+175.4%
7.4%AU$0.14AU$0.12n/a3
May ’25AU$0.064
AU$0.13
+97.9%
7.4%AU$0.14AU$0.12n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.055
AU$0.13
+136.4%
6.3%AU$0.14AU$0.12n/a3
Mar ’25AU$0.067
AU$0.13
+94.0%
6.3%AU$0.14AU$0.12n/a3
Feb ’25AU$0.07
AU$0.15
+114.3%
6.7%AU$0.16AU$0.14n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.071
AU$0.15
+118.3%
3.2%AU$0.16AU$0.15AU$0.0562
Dec ’24AU$0.069
AU$0.20
+194.7%
33.7%AU$0.30AU$0.15AU$0.0593
Nov ’24AU$0.06
AU$0.20
+238.9%
33.7%AU$0.30AU$0.15AU$0.0633
Oct ’24AU$0.042
AU$0.20
+382.1%
31.7%AU$0.30AU$0.14AU$0.0584
Sep ’24AU$0.12
AU$0.23
+91.7%
25.7%AU$0.30AU$0.14AU$0.0564
Aug ’24AU$0.14
AU$0.24
+73.2%
19.4%AU$0.30AU$0.17AU$0.054
Jul ’24AU$0.10
AU$0.23
+122.4%
25.9%AU$0.30AU$0.15AU$0.0445
Jun ’24AU$0.12
AU$0.22
+81.1%
27.2%AU$0.30AU$0.15AU$0.0466
May ’24AU$0.16
AU$0.22
+35.8%
27.2%AU$0.30AU$0.15AU$0.0646
Apr ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.24
+3.3%
30.8%AU$0.34AU$0.15AU$0.0555
Mar ’24AU$0.25
AU$0.25
+0.9%
28.3%AU$0.34AU$0.15AU$0.0676
Feb ’24AU$0.20
AU$0.23
+16.1%
32.2%AU$0.32AU$0.15AU$0.076
Jan ’24AU$0.21
AU$0.24
+9.6%
33.2%AU$0.32AU$0.15AU$0.0716

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 12:10
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

AMA Group Limited is covered by 8 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Chris SavageBell Potter
Warren JeffriesCanaccord Genuity
Warren JeffriesCanaccord Genuity (Australia)