SG Fleet Group Limited

ASX:SGF Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.2b

SG Fleet Group Valuation

Is SGF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
AU$12.16
Fair Value
71.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SGF (A$3.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$12.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGF?

Key metric: As SGF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGF. This is calculated by dividing SGF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsAU$89.66m
Market CapAU$1.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.2x
MAD Mader Group
25.1x15.5%AU$1.3b
SUG Sugar Terminals
11.7xn/aAU$379.8m
DOW Downer EDI
63.1x22.1%AU$3.5b
BXB Brambles
20.8x7.2%AU$26.2b
SGF SG Fleet Group
13.1x7.3%AU$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (30.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Commercial Services Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SGF 13.1xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies79PE01224364860+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the Global Commercial Services industry average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SGF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$3.44
AU$3.42
-0.6%
4.1%AU$3.50AU$3.18n/a4
Jan ’26AU$3.41
AU$3.42
+0.3%
4.1%AU$3.50AU$3.18n/a4
Dec ’25AU$3.31
AU$3.46
+4.5%
4.7%AU$3.60AU$3.18n/a4
Nov ’25AU$2.68
AU$3.41
+27.1%
5.1%AU$3.60AU$3.18n/a4
Oct ’25AU$2.50
AU$3.41
+36.3%
5.1%AU$3.60AU$3.18n/a4
Sep ’25AU$2.99
AU$3.41
+14.0%
5.1%AU$3.60AU$3.18n/a4
Aug ’25AU$3.16
AU$3.45
+9.3%
5.2%AU$3.65AU$3.21n/a4
Jul ’25AU$3.18
AU$3.25
+2.1%
6.1%AU$3.58AU$3.10n/a4
Jun ’25AU$2.95
AU$3.25
+10.1%
6.1%AU$3.58AU$3.10n/a4
May ’25AU$3.05
AU$3.25
+6.5%
6.1%AU$3.58AU$3.10n/a4
Apr ’25AU$2.95
AU$3.25
+10.1%
6.1%AU$3.58AU$3.10n/a4
Mar ’25AU$2.77
AU$3.25
+17.2%
6.1%AU$3.58AU$3.10n/a4
Feb ’25AU$2.37
AU$3.03
+27.6%
8.6%AU$3.43AU$2.70n/a4
Jan ’25AU$2.35
AU$3.03
+28.7%
8.6%AU$3.43AU$2.70AU$3.414
Dec ’24AU$2.25
AU$3.18
+41.2%
12.0%AU$3.78AU$2.70AU$3.315
Nov ’24AU$2.58
AU$3.18
+23.1%
12.0%AU$3.78AU$2.70AU$2.685
Oct ’24AU$2.46
AU$3.18
+29.1%
12.0%AU$3.78AU$2.70AU$2.505
Sep ’24AU$2.58
AU$3.18
+23.1%
12.0%AU$3.78AU$2.70AU$2.995
Aug ’24AU$2.65
AU$3.06
+15.5%
13.9%AU$3.78AU$2.50AU$3.165
Jul ’24AU$2.30
AU$2.99
+29.8%
16.1%AU$3.78AU$2.50AU$3.185
Jun ’24AU$2.02
AU$2.99
+47.8%
16.1%AU$3.78AU$2.50AU$2.955
May ’24AU$2.11
AU$2.79
+32.1%
10.8%AU$3.23AU$2.50AU$3.054
Apr ’24AU$2.07
AU$2.79
+34.7%
10.8%AU$3.23AU$2.50AU$2.954
Mar ’24AU$2.17
AU$2.87
+32.1%
10.9%AU$3.23AU$2.50AU$2.775
Feb ’24AU$2.07
AU$3.08
+48.7%
7.9%AU$3.51AU$2.90AU$2.375
Jan ’24AU$1.83
AU$3.08
+68.2%
7.9%AU$3.51AU$2.90AU$2.355
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
AU$3.42
Fair Value
0.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/18 02:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SG Fleet Group Limited is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sam ByrnesBell Potter
Paul BuysCanaccord Genuity
Allan FranklinCanaccord Genuity