We Think Kelly Partners Group Holdings (ASX:KPG) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited (ASX:KPG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kelly Partners Group Holdings

What Is Kelly Partners Group Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Kelly Partners Group Holdings had AU$17.4m of debt in December 2020, down from AU$21.8m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$5.92m, its net debt is less, at about AU$11.5m.

A Look At Kelly Partners Group Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kelly Partners Group Holdings had liabilities of AU$19.0m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$17.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$5.92m in cash and AU$8.14m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$22.4m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Kelly Partners Group Holdings has a market capitalization of AU$99.1m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Kelly Partners Group Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.69. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also positive, Kelly Partners Group Holdings grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kelly Partners Group Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Kelly Partners Group Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 80% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Kelly Partners Group Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Kelly Partners Group Holdings's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Kelly Partners Group Holdings .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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