Stock Analysis

Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited's (ASX:SXE) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

ASX:SXE
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Despite an already strong run, Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited (ASX:SXE) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 87% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, Southern Cross Electrical Engineering's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 21x and even P/E's above 37x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

For example, consider that Southern Cross Electrical Engineering's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as earnings growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this benign earnings growth rate will likely underperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Southern Cross Electrical Engineering

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SXE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 14th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Southern Cross Electrical Engineering, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Southern Cross Electrical Engineering's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 91% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 28% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Southern Cross Electrical Engineering's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Southern Cross Electrical Engineering's P/E close to the market median. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Southern Cross Electrical Engineering has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Southern Cross Electrical Engineering, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Southern Cross Electrical Engineering is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.