Stock Analysis

Reece (ASX:REH) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At A$0.15

ASX:REH
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Reece Limited (ASX:REH) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 26th of October to A$0.15. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.6% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Reece

Reece's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Prior to this announcement, Reece's dividend was only 37% of earnings, however it was paying out 685% of free cash flows. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 14.3% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 32% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
ASX:REH Historic Dividend September 30th 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2012, the annual payment back then was A$0.122, compared to the most recent full-year payment of A$0.225. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.3% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Reece might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Reece Could Grow Its Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Reece has been growing its earnings per share at 7.4% a year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 8 analysts we track are forecasting for Reece for free with public analyst estimates for the company. Is Reece not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.