Stock Analysis

Resource Development Group (ASX:RDG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

ASX:RDG
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Resource Development Group Limited (ASX:RDG) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Resource Development Group

What Is Resource Development Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Resource Development Group had AU$105.3m of debt, an increase on AU$79.1m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$2.94m, its net debt is less, at about AU$102.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:RDG Debt to Equity History March 19th 2024

A Look At Resource Development Group's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Resource Development Group had liabilities of AU$57.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$99.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$2.94m in cash and AU$15.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$138.2m.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's AU$121.0m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Resource Development Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.5, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 99 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Pleasingly, Resource Development Group is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 135% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Resource Development Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Resource Development Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Mulling over Resource Development Group's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Resource Development Group stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Resource Development Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Resource Development Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.