Stock Analysis

Oldfields Holdings (ASX:OLH) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

ASX:OLH
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Oldfields Holdings Limited (ASX:OLH) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Oldfields Holdings

What Is Oldfields Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Oldfields Holdings had AU$5.49m of debt, an increase on AU$4.59m, over one year. On the flip side, it has AU$1.17m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$4.32m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:OLH Debt to Equity History May 10th 2024

How Healthy Is Oldfields Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Oldfields Holdings had liabilities of AU$15.5m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$8.53m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$1.17m in cash and AU$5.54m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$17.3m.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's AU$16.0m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Oldfields Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Oldfields Holdings saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Oldfields Holdings produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$1.2m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through AU$272k in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Oldfields Holdings (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Find out whether Oldfields Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.