Stock Analysis

ASX Stocks Priced Below Intrinsic Value Estimates Include Guzman y Gomez And Two More

The Australian stock market has shown resilience, with the ASX200 gaining 10% over the past ten months, despite a relatively uneventful September. Recent developments in critical minerals and healthcare have sparked investor interest, highlighting opportunities for stocks priced below their intrinsic value estimates. In this context, identifying undervalued stocks requires a keen understanding of market trends and potential catalysts like geopolitical shifts or sector-specific growth drivers.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$3.15A$5.6744.4%
Resimac Group (ASX:RMC)A$1.145A$2.1847.4%
Reckon (ASX:RKN)A$0.62A$1.1947.8%
NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)A$4.98A$9.2346%
MAAS Group Holdings (ASX:MGH)A$4.65A$9.1649.3%
Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR)A$1.18A$2.1043.7%
James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX)A$34.27A$65.7547.9%
Cynata Therapeutics (ASX:CYP)A$0.22A$0.4449.9%
Credit Clear (ASX:CCR)A$0.265A$0.4743.4%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)A$0.36A$0.7149.5%

Click here to see the full list of 34 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's uncover some gems from our specialized screener.

Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG)

Overview: Guzman y Gomez Limited operates quick service restaurants across Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States with a market cap of A$2.61 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of A$465.04 million from its quick service restaurant operations in multiple countries.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32.8%

Guzman y Gomez appears undervalued, trading at A$25.31, which is 32.8% below its estimated fair value of A$37.65. The company has transitioned to profitability with a net income of A$14.48 million for FY2025 and forecasts significant earnings growth of 32.74% annually over the next three years, outpacing the broader Australian market's growth rate. Recent share buyback plans and expansion efforts underscore its commitment to enhancing shareholder returns while supporting future growth ambitions in Australia.

ASX:GYG Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:GYG Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

MAAS Group Holdings (ASX:MGH)

Overview: MAAS Group Holdings Limited, with a market cap of A$1.68 billion, operates through its subsidiaries to provide construction materials for the civil infrastructure, renewable energy, building and construction, and mining sectors.

Operations: MAAS Group Holdings Limited generates revenue from several segments, including Manufacturing (A$33.62 million), Commercial Real Estate (A$119.78 million), Construction Materials (A$535.74 million), Residential Real Estate (A$78.32 million), and Civil, Construction and Hire (A$321.94 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.3%

MAAS Group Holdings trades at A$4.65, significantly undervalued by 49.3% compared to its fair value of A$9.16, based on discounted cash flow analysis. The company forecasts a robust earnings growth of 21.7% annually, surpassing the Australian market's average growth rate and indicating strong potential for future profitability despite lower revenue growth projections and insufficient interest coverage from earnings. Recent share buybacks and dividend increases reflect strategic efforts to enhance shareholder value amidst steady financial performance.

ASX:MGH Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:MGH Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

SRG Global (ASX:SRG)

Overview: SRG Global Limited operates in engineering, mining, maintenance, and construction contracting across Australia and New Zealand, with a market cap of A$1.60 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Engineering and Construction, generating A$455.93 million, and Maintenance and Industrial Services, contributing A$867.38 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 41.4%

SRG Global is trading at A$2.61, undervalued by 41.4% relative to its estimated fair value of A$4.45 based on discounted cash flow analysis. Forecasted revenue growth of 10.9% annually surpasses the Australian market average, while expected earnings growth of 20.3% per year further highlights its potential for profitability enhancement despite a modest return on equity forecast of 19%. The company actively seeks strategic acquisitions to bolster growth and maximize shareholder value, supported by recent M&A discussions and dividend announcements.

ASX:SRG Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:SRG Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Key Takeaways

  • Reveal the 34 hidden gems among our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener with a single click here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:MGH

MAAS Group Holdings

Together with subsidiaries, engages in the provision of construction materials to the civil infrastructure, renewable energy, building and construction, and mining sectors.

Reasonable growth potential and fair value.

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