Guzman y Gomez Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Guzman y Gomez is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 46.3% and 18% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 47% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12% in 3 years.

Key information

46.3%

Earnings growth rate

47.0%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	15.4%
Revenue growth rate	18.0%
Future return on equity	12.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	25 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:GYG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	688	49	42	122	7
6/30/2026	562	29	24	92	7
6/30/2025	442	13	-13	61	7
6/30/2024	365	-14	3	37	N/A
3/31/2024	344	-9	-1	36	N/A
12/31/2023	305	-5	-10	32	N/A
9/30/2023	282	-4	-11	31	N/A
6/30/2023	277	-2	-8	35	N/A
6/30/2022	172	4	-7	20	N/A
6/30/2021	120	4	8	23	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GYG is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: GYG is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: GYG is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GYG's revenue (18% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GYG's revenue (18% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GYG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 17:29
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Guzman y Gomez Limited is covered by 8 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Thomas Kierath	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Sean Xu	CLSA
Elijah Mayr	Goldman Sachs