Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Emeco Holdings (ASX:EHL) Is Using Debt Extensively

ASX:EHL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Emeco Holdings Limited (ASX:EHL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Emeco Holdings

What Is Emeco Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Emeco Holdings had debt of AU$263.3m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from AU$568.3m over a year. On the flip side, it has AU$74.7m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$188.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:EHL Debt to Equity History October 12th 2021

How Strong Is Emeco Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Emeco Holdings had liabilities of AU$147.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$286.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$74.7m as well as receivables valued at AU$124.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$234.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Emeco Holdings has a market capitalization of AU$638.4m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.86 and interest cover of 3.0 times, it seems to us that Emeco Holdings is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Sadly, Emeco Holdings's EBIT actually dropped 5.8% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Emeco Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Emeco Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 31% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Emeco Holdings's interest cover and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But it seems to be able handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, without much trouble. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Emeco Holdings's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Emeco Holdings (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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