Stock Analysis

ASX Stocks Estimated Below Fair Value To Watch In May 2025

ASX:PNV
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The Australian market has recently experienced a boost, with the ASX200 closing up 0.58% following a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia, highlighting strength in sectors such as IT and Real Estate. In this environment, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial for investors seeking opportunities to capitalize on potential gains, especially when certain sectors are showing resilience and growth prospects amidst broader economic shifts.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Smart Parking (ASX:SPZ)A$0.975A$1.7644.6%
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC)A$7.62A$13.4343.3%
Austal (ASX:ASB)A$5.02A$9.2045.4%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$17.98A$34.2547.5%
SciDev (ASX:SDV)A$0.36A$0.6847.1%
Polymetals Resources (ASX:POL)A$0.79A$1.5248%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$3.89A$6.7542.4%
Pantoro Gold (ASX:PNR)A$3.15A$5.4241.9%
PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH)A$1.095A$2.0847.3%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$2.57A$4.5243.1%

Click here to see the full list of 39 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.

Duratec (ASX:DUR)

Overview: Duratec Limited, with a market cap of A$396.25 million, provides assessment, protection, remediation, and refurbishment services for steel and concrete infrastructure assets in Australia.

Operations: The company's revenue segments are comprised of Energy (A$62.54 million), Defence (A$193.48 million), Buildings & Facades (A$113.64 million), and Mining & Industrial (A$144.05 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 23.4%

Duratec is trading at A$1.57, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$2.05, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Analysts expect the stock price to rise by 22.7%, supported by forecasted earnings growth of 15.46% annually, outpacing the Australian market's 11.7%. Revenue growth is projected at 9.4% per year, exceeding the market average of 5.5%. Duratec's return on equity is anticipated to be high in three years at 34.8%.

ASX:DUR Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:DUR Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Mader Group (ASX:MAD)

Overview: Mader Group Limited is a contracting company offering specialist technical services in the mining, energy, and industrial sectors both in Australia and internationally, with a market cap of A$1.24 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from its Staffing & Outsourcing Services segment, which generated A$811.54 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 23.8%

Mader Group is trading at A$6.15, below its estimated fair value of A$8.07, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Earnings are projected to grow 13.48% annually, surpassing the Australian market's 11.7%. Despite significant insider selling recently, Mader reaffirmed its fiscal year 2025 guidance with expected revenue of at least A$870 million and NPAT of at least A$57 million, supporting a robust financial outlook amidst strong past earnings growth.

ASX:MAD Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:MAD Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

PolyNovo (ASX:PNV)

Overview: PolyNovo Limited designs, manufactures, and sells biodegradable medical devices in the United States, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally with a market cap of A$949.91 million.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of the NovoSorb technology, amounting to A$115.58 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 28.0%

PolyNovo, trading at A$1.38, is below its estimated fair value of A$1.91, suggesting undervaluation based on cash flows. The company's earnings have grown significantly by 270.2% over the past year and are forecast to increase by 39.6% annually, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 11.7%. Recent unaudited results show strong revenue growth with A$91.6 million reported for the year to date as of March 31, 2025.

ASX:PNV Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:PNV Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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