Does N1 Holdings Limited (ASX:N1H) Go Up With The Market?

If you are a shareholder in N1 Holdings Limited’s (ASX:N1H), or are thinking about investing in the company, knowing how it contributes to the risk and reward profile of your portfolio is important. There are two types of risks that affect the market value of a listed company such as N1H. The first risk to consider is company-specific, which can be diversified away when you invest in other companies in the same industry as N1H, because it is rare that an entire industry collapses at once. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk. The most widely used metric to quantify a stock’s market risk is beta, and the market as a whole represents a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

See our latest analysis for N1 Holdings

What does N1H’s beta value mean?

With a beta of 1.25, N1 Holdings is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. Based on this beta value, N1H may be a stock for investors with a portfolio mainly made up of low-beta stocks. This is because during times of bullish sentiment, you can reap more of the upside with high-beta stocks compared to muted movements of low-beta holdings.

ASX:N1H Income Statement Apr 26th 18
ASX:N1H Income Statement Apr 26th 18

How does N1H’s size and industry impact its risk?

A market capitalisation of AU$9.79M puts N1H in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. In addition to size, N1H also operates in the mortgage industry, which has commonly demonstrated strong reactions to market-wide shocks. As a result, we should expect higher beta for small-cap stocks in a cyclical industry compared to larger stocks in a defensive industry. This supports our interpretation of N1H’s beta value discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

Can N1H’s asset-composition point to a higher beta?

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I test N1H’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company’s overall assets, N1H seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. However, this is the opposite to what N1H’s actual beta value suggests, which is higher stock volatility relative to the market.

What this means for you:

You may reap the gains of N1H’s returns during times of economic growth by holding the stock. Its low fixed cost also implies that it has the flexibility to adjust its cost to preserve margins during times of a downturn. I recommend analysing the stock in terms of your current portfolio composition before deciding to invest more into N1H. What I have not mentioned in my article here are important company-specific fundamentals such as N1 Holdings’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is N1H’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has N1H been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of N1H’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.