Kina Securities Limited's (ASX:KSL) investors are due to receive a payment of PGK0.045 per share on 2nd of October. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 7.0%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Kina Securities' Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much.
Kina Securities has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Kina Securities' payout ratio of 70% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
The next 3 years are set to see EPS grow by 50.8%. The future payout ratio could be 70% over that time period, according to analyst estimates, which is a good look for the future of the dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for Kina Securities
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was PGK0.0737 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was PGK0.261. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Unfortunately, Kina Securities' earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 1.0% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. While this isn't necessarily a negative, it definitely signals that dividend growth could be constrained in the future unless earnings start to pick up again.
Our Thoughts On Kina Securities' Dividend
In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Kina Securities that investors should take into consideration. Is Kina Securities not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:KSL
Kina Securities
Provides commercial banking and financial, fund administration, investment management, and share brokerage services in Papua New Guinea.
Solid track record established dividend payer.
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