ANZ Group Holdings Limited

ASX:ANZ Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$84.1b

ANZ Group Holdings Valuation

Is ANZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ANZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ANZ (A$27.99) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$35.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ANZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ANZ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ANZ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio7.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ANZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ANZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
WBC Westpac Banking
29.4x13.9%AU$89.1b
NAB National Australia Bank
13.9x0.9%AU$103.6b
CBA Commonwealth Bank of Australia
19.3x2.9%AU$189.0b
BFL BSP Financial Group
7.6xn/aAU$2.7b
ANZ ANZ Group Holdings
11.8x1.6%AU$84.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ANZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ANZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a4.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a4.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ANZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the Global Banks industry average (9.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ANZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ANZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.8x
Fair PE Ratio13.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ANZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ANZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$27.99
AU$27.72
-1.0%
8.1%AU$31.00AU$22.00n/a14
Apr ’25AU$29.40
AU$27.71
-5.7%
8.6%AU$31.00AU$21.00n/a14
Mar ’25AU$28.75
AU$26.90
-6.4%
9.3%AU$31.00AU$21.00n/a14
Feb ’25AU$26.92
AU$26.12
-3.0%
8.8%AU$31.00AU$21.00n/a14
Jan ’25AU$25.92
AU$25.60
-1.2%
8.4%AU$31.00AU$21.00n/a14
Dec ’24AU$24.43
AU$25.56
+4.6%
8.4%AU$31.00AU$21.00n/a14
Nov ’24AU$24.87
AU$26.14
+5.1%
8.0%AU$31.00AU$21.50n/a14
Oct ’24AU$25.66
AU$26.19
+2.1%
7.8%AU$31.00AU$21.50n/a14
Sep ’24AU$25.17
AU$26.24
+4.2%
8.4%AU$31.00AU$21.50n/a15
Aug ’24AU$25.88
AU$25.47
-1.6%
11.3%AU$31.00AU$18.60n/a15
Jul ’24AU$23.71
AU$25.48
+7.5%
11.2%AU$31.00AU$18.60n/a15
Jun ’24AU$22.73
AU$25.39
+11.7%
10.9%AU$31.00AU$18.60n/a15
May ’24AU$24.52
AU$25.66
+4.7%
10.7%AU$31.00AU$18.60n/a16
Apr ’24AU$22.93
AU$25.92
+13.0%
11.0%AU$31.00AU$18.60AU$29.4016
Mar ’24AU$24.37
AU$26.45
+8.5%
11.5%AU$31.00AU$18.60AU$28.7516
Feb ’24AU$25.28
AU$26.13
+3.4%
12.1%AU$31.00AU$18.30AU$26.9216
Jan ’24n/a
AU$26.45
0%
13.6%AU$32.00AU$18.30AU$25.9215
Dec ’23AU$24.95
AU$26.39
+5.8%
13.2%AU$32.00AU$18.30AU$24.4316
Nov ’23AU$25.96
AU$26.39
+1.7%
13.2%AU$32.00AU$18.30AU$24.8716
Oct ’23AU$22.80
AU$26.49
+16.2%
12.8%AU$32.00AU$19.40AU$25.6616
Sep ’23AU$22.64
AU$25.81
+14.0%
13.4%AU$32.00AU$19.40AU$25.1716
Aug ’23AU$22.74
AU$26.02
+14.4%
13.3%AU$32.00AU$19.80AU$25.8815
Jul ’23AU$22.00
AU$27.16
+23.5%
12.8%AU$32.00AU$19.70AU$23.7116
Jun ’23AU$25.31
AU$29.03
+14.7%
7.5%AU$32.00AU$23.80AU$22.7316
May ’23AU$27.30
AU$29.58
+8.3%
5.7%AU$32.51AU$26.00AU$24.5216
Apr ’23AU$27.18
AU$29.66
+9.1%
4.1%AU$32.00AU$26.50AU$22.9316

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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