Stock Analysis

Does Vmoto (ASX:VMT) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

ASX:VMT
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Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. And in their study titled Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street?' Leuz et. al. found that it is 'quite common' for investors to lose money by buying into 'pump and dump' schemes.

So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Vmoto (ASX:VMT). While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

Check out our latest analysis for Vmoto

How Fast Is Vmoto Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

In the last three years Vmoto's earnings per share took off like a rocket; fast, and from a low base. So the actual rate of growth doesn't tell us much. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Like a wedge-tailed eagle on the wind, Vmoto's EPS soared from AU$0.014 to AU$0.021, in just one year. That's a commendable gain of 57%.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). The good news is that Vmoto is growing revenues, and EBIT margins improved by 2.5 percentage points to 6.3%, over the last year. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:VMT Earnings and Revenue History January 13th 2022

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. To that end, right now and today, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for future Vmoto EPS 100% free.

Are Vmoto Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

Despite -AU$37k worth of sales, Vmoto insiders have overwhelmingly been buying the stock, spending AU$446k on purchases in the last twelve months. You could argue that level of buying implies genuine confidence in the business. We also note that it was the , Malaky Kazem, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying AU$413k for shares at about AU$0.42 each.

And the insider buying isn't the only sign of alignment between shareholders and the board, since Vmoto insiders own more than a third of the company. In fact, they own 45% of the shares, making insiders a very influential shareholder group. I'm reassured by this kind of alignment, as it suggests the business will be run for the benefit of shareholders. In terms of absolute value, insiders have AU$57m invested in the business, using the current share price. That's nothing to sneeze at!

Should You Add Vmoto To Your Watchlist?

For growth investors like me, Vmoto's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. Not only that, but we can see that insiders both own a lot of, and are buying more, shares in the company. So it's fair to say I think this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Vmoto you should know about.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Vmoto, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.