Aena S.M.E Valuation

Is AENA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AENA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AENA (€196) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€161.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AENA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AENA?

Key metric: As AENA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AENA. This is calculated by dividing AENA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AENA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.3x
Earnings€1.94b
Market Cap€29.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AENA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AENA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.7x
FLU Flughafen Wien
22.3x8.7%€4.4b
600009 Shanghai International Airport
54.6x38.4%CN¥89.5b
ADP Aeroports de Paris
14x7.7%€10.7b
AOT Airports of Thailand
47.7x19.9%฿875.0b
AENA Aena S.M.E
15.3x5.4%€29.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AENA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the peer average (34.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AENA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AENA 15.3xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AENA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the European Infrastructure industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AENA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AENA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.3x
Fair PE Ratio25.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AENA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AENA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€196.00
€206.63
+5.4%
11.3%€234.00€129.00n/a23
Nov ’25€205.00
€205.70
+0.3%
11.4%€234.00€129.00n/a22
Oct ’25€199.50
€200.71
+0.6%
11.3%€226.00€129.00n/a25
Sep ’25€182.10
€199.91
+9.8%
11.0%€226.00€129.00n/a25
Aug ’25€172.90
€200.31
+15.9%
11.1%€226.00€129.00n/a25
Jul ’25€190.60
€192.04
+0.8%
12.8%€218.00€127.20n/a25
Jun ’25€178.40
€189.30
+6.1%
12.8%€218.00€127.20n/a24
May ’25€174.80
€187.30
+7.1%
12.2%€213.00€127.20n/a24
Apr ’25€181.95
€183.05
+0.6%
11.9%€210.00€127.20n/a24
Mar ’25€174.70
€179.32
+2.6%
11.7%€206.00€127.20n/a25
Feb ’25€165.05
€170.56
+3.3%
12.1%€202.00€127.20n/a25
Jan ’25€164.65
€165.56
+0.6%
10.2%€187.00€127.20n/a25
Dec ’24€158.60
€162.88
+2.7%
9.6%€184.00€127.20n/a25
Nov ’24€136.85
€161.04
+17.7%
9.5%€180.00€127.20€205.0024
Oct ’24€138.10
€162.59
+17.7%
9.7%€180.00€127.20€199.5022
Sep ’24€145.30
€165.27
+13.7%
9.0%€188.00€127.20€182.1022
Aug ’24€144.20
€164.43
+14.0%
9.1%€188.00€127.20€172.9021
Jul ’24€148.50
€162.95
+9.7%
8.8%€188.00€125.10€190.6021
Jun ’24€147.35
€159.82
+8.5%
10.0%€188.00€125.10€178.4021
May ’24€152.65
€158.87
+4.1%
9.5%€181.00€125.10€174.8021
Apr ’24€148.70
€152.62
+2.6%
11.3%€181.00€125.10€181.9522
Mar ’24€145.35
€143.94
-1.0%
9.6%€175.00€125.00€174.7022
Feb ’24€137.40
€144.32
+5.0%
10.8%€185.00€120.00€165.0524
Jan ’24€117.85
€141.78
+20.3%
11.2%€185.00€115.00€164.6525
Dec ’23€123.95
€138.86
+12.0%
12.1%€185.00€114.00€158.6025
Nov ’23€118.35
€138.89
+17.4%
12.5%€185.00€114.00€136.8525

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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