Aeroports de Paris Valuation

Is ADP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADP (€104.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€54.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADP?

Key metric: As ADP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADP. This is calculated by dividing ADP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.5x
Earnings€765.00m
Market Cap€10.36b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.4x
GET Getlink
24.1x-3.6%€8.2b
AYV Ayvens
10.8x36.2%€5.2b
IDL ID Logistics Group
46.9x19.3%€2.5b
AF Air France-KLM
31.7x33.5%€2.0b
ADP Aeroports de Paris
13.5x7.5%€10.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (28.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADP 13.5xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the European Infrastructure industry average (14.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€104.90
€132.12
+25.9%
7.2%€152.00€115.00n/a17
Nov ’25€108.10
€132.88
+22.9%
6.6%€152.00€115.00n/a17
Oct ’25€112.60
€135.72
+20.5%
6.0%€157.00€120.00n/a18
Sep ’25€118.50
€135.06
+14.0%
6.3%€157.00€120.00n/a18
Aug ’25€117.30
€134.78
+14.9%
6.7%€157.00€115.00n/a18
Jul ’25€114.90
€133.72
+16.4%
6.1%€155.00€122.00n/a18
Jun ’25€131.10
€132.44
+1.0%
6.0%€155.00€119.00n/a18
May ’25€119.50
€130.56
+9.3%
7.5%€155.00€110.00n/a18
Apr ’25€127.10
€130.67
+2.8%
7.8%€155.00€110.00n/a18
Mar ’25€126.00
€129.50
+2.8%
9.2%€155.00€104.00n/a18
Feb ’25€123.50
€123.72
+0.2%
11.4%€155.00€103.00n/a18
Jan ’25€117.20
€122.00
+4.1%
12.5%€155.00€103.00n/a17
Dec ’24€113.80
€121.88
+7.1%
12.5%€155.00€103.00n/a17
Nov ’24€105.00
€123.82
+17.9%
13.4%€155.00€103.00€108.1017
Oct ’24€111.90
€132.24
+18.2%
10.7%€155.00€104.00€112.6017
Sep ’24€122.20
€134.47
+10.0%
9.3%€155.00€118.00€118.5017
Aug ’24€123.70
€137.38
+11.1%
9.5%€165.00€118.00€117.3016
Jul ’24€131.50
€139.31
+5.9%
9.1%€165.00€120.00€114.9016
Jun ’24€142.40
€138.60
-2.7%
9.8%€165.00€120.00€131.1015
May ’24€144.10
€137.40
-4.6%
9.0%€155.00€120.00€119.5015
Apr ’24€131.65
€133.38
+1.3%
10.1%€155.00€110.00€127.1016
Mar ’24€136.65
€133.19
-2.5%
10.9%€160.00€110.00€126.0016
Feb ’24€144.60
€131.00
-9.4%
9.6%€155.00€110.00€123.5016
Jan ’24€125.20
€127.06
+1.5%
11.3%€150.00€98.00€117.2017
Dec ’23€149.05
€125.65
-15.7%
11.8%€150.00€98.00€113.8017
Nov ’23€137.75
€125.12
-9.2%
12.0%€150.00€98.00€105.0017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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