Nokia Oyj Valuation

Is NOKI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NOKI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NOKI (€4.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NOKI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NOKI?

Key metric: As NOKI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NOKI. This is calculated by dividing NOKI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NOKI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.9x
Earnings€914.00m
Market Cap€22.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NOKI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NOKI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35x
UI Ubiquiti
52x29.0%US$20.3b
16.4x6.4%CN¥143.8b
24.6x10.7%US$13.8b
JNPR Juniper Networks
47.1x30.9%US$12.1b
NOKI Nokia Oyj
24.9x18.0%€22.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NOKI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the peer average (35x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NOKI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Communications Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOKI 24.9xIndustry Avg. 30.2xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NOKI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the European Communications industry average (27.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NOKI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NOKI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NOKI's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NOKI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.22
€4.33
+2.6%
18.9%€6.00€3.30n/a21
Nov ’25€4.36
€4.29
-1.5%
19.6%€6.00€3.30n/a20
Oct ’25€3.94
€3.98
+1.0%
23.7%€6.50€2.90n/a19
Sep ’25€4.00
€3.99
-0.2%
23.4%€6.50€2.90n/a20
Aug ’25€3.71
€3.97
+7.0%
23.7%€6.50€2.90n/a20
Jul ’25€3.62
€3.95
+9.3%
23.8%€6.50€2.90n/a20
Jun ’25€3.58
€3.93
+9.8%
24.6%€6.50€2.90n/a20
May ’25€3.40
€3.93
+15.6%
24.6%€6.50€2.90n/a20
Apr ’25€3.29
€3.96
+20.3%
24.4%€6.50€2.70n/a20
Mar ’25€3.25
€3.95
+21.8%
24.3%€6.50€2.70n/a21
Feb ’25€3.32
€3.89
+17.1%
24.3%€6.50€2.70n/a21
Jan ’25€3.06
€3.93
+28.3%
26.3%€6.50€2.70n/a21
Dec ’24€3.21
€4.37
+36.1%
21.3%€6.95€3.20n/a21
Nov ’24€3.13
€4.47
+42.9%
21.8%€6.95€3.20€4.3621
Oct ’24€3.51
€4.95
+41.2%
18.9%€7.00€3.90€3.9422
Sep ’24€3.65
€4.93
+35.0%
18.8%€7.00€3.90€4.0022
Aug ’24€3.57
€4.95
+38.6%
18.5%€7.00€3.90€3.7122
Jul ’24€3.84
€5.42
+41.4%
15.7%€7.80€4.20€3.6223
Jun ’24€3.79
€5.49
+44.9%
15.3%€7.80€4.20€3.5824
May ’24€3.83
€5.52
+44.2%
15.4%€7.80€4.20€3.4023
Apr ’24€4.40
€5.80
+31.8%
13.7%€7.80€4.60€3.2925
Mar ’24€4.34
€5.82
+34.0%
13.5%€7.80€4.60€3.2524
Feb ’24€4.33
€5.82
+34.3%
13.6%€7.80€4.60€3.3224
Jan ’24€4.39
€5.95
+35.5%
13.3%€8.00€4.50€3.0625
Dec ’23€4.79
€5.94
+24.1%
13.3%€8.00€4.50€3.2125
Nov ’23€4.49
€6.01
+33.8%
13.5%€8.00€4.50€3.1323

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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