Rakuten Group Valuation

Is RAK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RAK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RAK (€4.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€22.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RAK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RAK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

RAK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.04x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA0.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RAK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RAK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
NXT NEXT
2x4.5%UK£11.0b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
0.9x6.5%Mex$199.3b
7532 Pan Pacific International Holdings
1.1x4.7%JP¥2.2t
ETSY Etsy
2.9x7.8%US$7.9b
RAK Rakuten Group
0.8x7.5%€1.6t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RAK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RAK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RAK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Multiline Retail industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RAK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RAK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RAK's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RAK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.42
€4.95
+12.0%
22.5%€7.18€2.41n/a16
Apr ’25€5.22
€4.79
-8.3%
25.0%€7.25€2.44n/a16
Mar ’25€5.05
€4.21
-16.5%
21.7%€6.12€2.45n/a16
Feb ’25€3.94
€4.01
+1.9%
20.1%€6.26€2.51n/a16
Jan ’25€4.05
€3.99
-1.4%
19.4%€6.35€2.54n/a16
Dec ’24€3.52
€4.09
+16.2%
27.2%€7.44€2.48n/a17
Nov ’24€3.47
€4.16
+20.0%
27.3%€7.56€2.52n/a17
Oct ’24€3.89
€4.24
+8.9%
30.1%€7.60€2.79n/a16
Sep ’24€3.63
€4.43
+22.0%
30.1%€7.61€2.79n/a17
Aug ’24€3.54
€4.46
+26.1%
30.7%€7.69€2.82n/a17
Jul ’24€3.18
€4.89
+53.5%
26.5%€7.74€2.84n/a15
Jun ’24€3.86
€5.48
+41.9%
43.2%€13.31€2.93n/a15
May ’24€4.54
€5.80
+27.7%
37.8%€13.32€3.46n/a17
Apr ’24€4.27
€5.99
+40.3%
38.9%€14.03€3.65€5.2216
Mar ’24€4.67
€6.01
+28.7%
37.7%€13.84€3.60€5.0517
Feb ’24€4.70
€6.19
+31.5%
37.6%€14.13€3.67€3.9417
Jan ’24€4.22
€6.39
+51.5%
37.6%€14.26€3.71€4.0517
Dec ’23€4.63
€6.28
+35.7%
37.3%€13.87€3.61€3.5217
Nov ’23€4.60
€6.33
+37.7%
43.3%€15.64€3.54€3.4717
Oct ’23€4.39
€6.77
+54.2%
43.1%€16.40€3.71€3.8916
Sep ’23€4.76
€6.99
+47.1%
42.8%€16.49€3.73€3.6316
Aug ’23€4.97
€7.64
+53.8%
46.2%€19.28€3.71€3.5416
Jul ’23€4.30
€7.75
+80.1%
43.2%€18.84€3.63€3.1816
Jun ’23€5.23
€9.14
+74.9%
35.1%€19.79€5.72€3.8616
May ’23€6.68
€9.79
+46.6%
34.5%€20.18€5.62€4.5416
Apr ’23€7.06
€10.28
+45.6%
44.0%€25.73€5.73€4.2716

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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