trivago (WBAG:TRVG) - Share price, News & Analysis

TRVG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	3/6
Future Growth	4/6
Past Performance	2/6
Financial Health	6/6
Dividends	0/6

TRVG Stock Overview

trivago N.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a hotel and accommodation search platform in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Rewards

Trading at 54.7% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 67.73% per year

Became profitable this year

Risk Analysis

Volatile share price over the past 3 months

Large one-off items impacting financial results

trivago Competitors

Microsoft

NasdaqGS:MSFT

US$2.1t

Alphabet

NasdaqGS:GOOGL

US$1.5t

Meta Platforms

NasdaqGS:FB

US$551.5b

Booking Holdings

NasdaqGS:BKNG

US$89.1b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for trivago
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	US$1.76
52 Week High	US$3.30
52 Week Low	US$1.74
Beta	1.63
1 Month Change	-11.34%
3 Month Change	-5.63%
1 Year Change	-41.72%
3 Year Change	-53.44%
5 Year Change	n/a
Change since IPO	-70.32%

Shareholder Returns

	TRVG	AT Interactive Media and Services	AT Market
7D	-15.4%	0%	0%
1Y	-41.7%	0%	0%

Return vs Industry: TRVG underperformed the Austrian Interactive Media and Services industry which returned -39.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TRVG underperformed the Austrian Market which returned -1.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TRVG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TRVG volatility
TRVG Average Weekly Movement	7.6%
Interactive Media and Services Industry Average Movement	0%
Market Average Movement	0%
10% most volatile stocks in AT Market	0%
10% least volatile stocks in AT Market	0%

Stable Share Price: TRVG is more volatile than 75% of Austrian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 8% a week.

Volatility Over Time: TRVG's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of Austrian stocks.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
2005	1,247	Axel Hefer	https://www.trivago.de

trivago N.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a hotel and accommodation search platform in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers an online meta-search for hotels and accommodation through online travel agencies, hotel chains, and independent hotels. The company provides access to its platform through 53 localized websites and apps in 31 languages.

trivago Fundamentals Summary

How do trivago's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TRVG fundamental statistics
Market Cap	€604.30m
Earnings (TTM)	€6.75m
Revenue (TTM)	€424.88m

89.6x

P/E Ratio

1.4x

P/S Ratio

Is TRVG overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
TRVG income statement (TTM)
Revenue	€424.88m
Cost of Revenue	€11.89m
Gross Profit	€412.98m
Other Expenses	€406.24m
Earnings	€6.75m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	0.019
Gross Margin	97.20%
Net Profit Margin	1.59%
Debt/Equity Ratio	0%

How did TRVG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is trivago undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PE vs Industry
PE vs Market
PEG Ratio
PB vs Industry

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: TRVG (€1.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRVG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: TRVG is poor value based on its PE Ratio (89.6x) compared to the European Interactive Media and Services industry average (33.5x).

PE vs Market: TRVG is poor value based on its PE Ratio (89.6x) compared to the Austrian market (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: TRVG is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.3x)

Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: TRVG is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.9x) compared to the XE Interactive Media and Services industry average (2.2x).

Future Growth

How is trivago forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 11 analysts?

Future Growth Score

4/6

Future Growth Score 4/6

Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE

67.7%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TRVG's forecast earnings growth (67.7% per year) is above the savings rate (0.2%).

Earnings vs Market: TRVG's earnings (67.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Austrian market (6.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TRVG's revenue (16.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Austrian market (2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TRVG's revenue (16.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TRVG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.2%).

Past Performance

How has trivago performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

2/6

Past Performance Score 2/6

Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE

-29.5%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: TRVG has a large one-off gain of €12.0M impacting its March 31 2022 financial results.

Growing Profit Margin: TRVG became profitable in the past.

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: TRVG has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -29.5% per year.

Accelerating Growth: TRVG has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: TRVG has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Interactive Media and Services industry (36.5%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: TRVG's Return on Equity (1%) is considered low.

Financial Health

How is trivago's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: TRVG's short term assets (€339.8M) exceed its short term liabilities (€72.1M).

Long Term Liabilities: TRVG's short term assets (€339.8M) exceed its long term liabilities (€103.7M).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: TRVG is debt free.

Reducing Debt: TRVG had no debt 5 years ago.

Debt Coverage: TRVG has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.

Interest Coverage: TRVG has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.

Balance Sheet

Dividend

What is trivago current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate TRVG's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate TRVG's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if TRVG's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if TRVG's dividend payments have been increasing.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as TRVG has not reported any payouts.

Next Steps

Explore strong dividend paying companies in the Media industry.

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

3.0yrs

Average management tenure

CEO

Axel Hefer (44 yo)

6.33yrs

Tenure

€447,000

Compensation

Mr. Axel Peter Hefer is Chief Executive Officer of trivago N.V. since December 31, 2019 and serves as its Member of Management Board since 2016. He serves as Managing Director for Legal, Marketplace, Peopl...

CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Axel's total compensation ($USD473.57K) is below average for companies of similar size in the Austrian market ($USD923.53K).

Compensation vs Earnings: Axel's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: TRVG's management team is considered experienced (3 years average tenure).

Board Members

Experienced Board: TRVG's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/05/07 00:00
End of Day Share Price	2022/05/06 00:00
Earnings	2022/03/31
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31