Meta Platforms Valuation

Is META undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of META when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: META (€575.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€848.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: META is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for META?

Key metric: As META is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for META. This is calculated by dividing META's market cap by their current earnings.
What is META's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.6x
EarningsUS$55.54b
Market CapUS$1.48t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does META's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for META vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.2x
GOOGL Alphabet
24.9x10.9%US$2.4t
700 Tencent Holdings
21.5x11.3%HK$3.9t
BIDU Baidu
10.7x4.5%US$30.1b
1024 Kuaishou Technology
11.5x16.9%HK$183.6b
META Meta Platforms
26.6x10.9%€1.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: META is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x) compared to the peer average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does META's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Interactive Media and Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
META 26.6xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: META is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x) compared to the European Interactive Media and Services industry average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is META's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

META PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate META's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst META forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€575.30
€625.75
+8.8%
8.9%€777.26€455.24n/a61
Dec ’25€547.20
€618.37
+13.0%
8.5%€772.72€452.58n/a61
Nov ’25€526.70
€593.95
+12.8%
9.0%€748.39€438.33n/a61
Oct ’25€518.10
€532.24
+2.7%
11.1%€732.66€345.10n/a60
Sep ’25€467.05
€512.35
+9.7%
9.0%€582.11€343.69n/a56
Aug ’25€465.85
€518.73
+11.4%
9.7%€599.57€354.00n/a56
Jul ’25€465.05
€488.27
+5.0%
9.5%€590.44€335.27n/a55
Jun ’25€420.50
€485.66
+15.5%
9.2%€591.01€335.59n/a56
May ’25€407.65
€490.11
+20.2%
8.2%€592.98€374.12n/a56
Apr ’25€449.80
€488.15
+8.5%
7.6%€566.98€370.54n/a54
Mar ’25€460.50
€477.39
+3.7%
10.2%€531.36€226.40n/a55
Feb ’25€365.00
€363.14
-0.5%
13.0%€433.48€161.40n/a53
Jan ’25€324.15
€340.08
+4.9%
11.2%€391.72€157.59n/a52
Dec ’24€296.90
€344.04
+15.9%
11.2%€399.98€160.91€547.2051
Nov ’24€291.10
€352.39
+21.1%
11.2%€402.18€165.60€526.7051
Oct ’24€288.75
€346.84
+20.1%
14.1%€414.08€95.19€518.1051
Sep ’24€275.10
€335.25
+21.9%
15.4%€402.68€92.57€467.0553
Aug ’24€293.35
€324.79
+10.7%
17.4%€396.07€91.05€465.8551
Jul ’24€263.15
€255.74
-2.8%
17.8%€329.83€91.62€465.0552
Jun ’24€250.10
€249.34
-0.3%
17.0%€325.29€92.94€420.5052
May ’24€214.80
€237.57
+10.6%
17.7%€317.63€90.75€407.6553
Apr ’24€193.34
€205.28
+6.2%
17.4%€279.65€73.35€449.8053
Mar ’24€165.20
€195.97
+18.6%
17.2%€265.34€74.48€460.5051
Feb ’24€136.12
€140.54
+3.2%
23.0%€236.68€72.82€365.0051
Jan ’24€111.38
€144.86
+30.1%
26.7%€257.42€74.97€324.1552
Dec ’23€114.04
€144.28
+26.5%
26.9%€260.97€76.00€296.9050

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Meta Platforms, Inc. is covered by 97 analysts. 64 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David HeasmanAccountability Research Corporation
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company