Alphabet Valuation

Is GOOA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOOA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOOA (€160.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€238.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOOA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOOA?

Key metric: As GOOA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GOOA. This is calculated by dividing GOOA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GOOA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22x
EarningsUS$94.27b
Market CapUS$2.08t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GOOA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GOOA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
META Meta Platforms
25.9x10.9%US$1.4t
700 Tencent Holdings
20.1x11.3%HK$3.7t
BIDU Baidu
10.5x6.3%US$29.3b
1024 Kuaishou Technology
12.7x17.3%HK$203.9b
GOOA Alphabet
22x10.9%€2.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GOOA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GOOA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Interactive Media and Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GOOA 22.0xIndustry Avg. 15.2xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GOOA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the European Interactive Media and Services industry average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOOA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOOA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GOOA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GOOA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€160.38
€198.73
+23.9%
7.3%€227.40€143.07n/a48
Nov ’25€158.18
€192.99
+22.0%
7.7%€221.47€139.34n/a48
Oct ’25€149.36
€182.92
+22.5%
7.5%€207.78€136.41n/a48
Sep ’25€146.30
€183.54
+25.5%
7.3%€206.22€135.39n/a45
Aug ’25€158.78
€188.52
+18.7%
7.6%€212.50€139.51n/a45
Jul ’25€169.88
€181.19
+6.7%
9.9%€214.20€133.18n/a45
Jun ’25€156.84
€178.15
+13.6%
9.7%€211.99€131.80n/a46
May ’25€154.74
€176.08
+13.8%
10.8%€210.44€133.75n/a46
Apr ’25€139.44
€153.13
+9.8%
6.0%€167.58€133.13n/a45
Mar ’25€127.20
€150.83
+18.6%
5.9%€165.89€129.95n/a46
Feb ’25€130.52
€149.63
+14.6%
6.5%€165.60€128.80n/a44
Jan ’25€126.68
€140.54
+10.9%
6.8%€163.60€117.25n/a43
Dec ’24€120.46
€140.66
+16.8%
6.7%€164.95€118.22n/a43
Nov ’24€118.62
€144.53
+21.8%
6.7%€169.54€118.68€158.1843
Oct ’24€124.80
€142.71
+14.3%
8.3%€188.84€114.25€149.3643
Sep ’24€125.80
€137.75
+9.5%
8.6%€183.56€111.05€146.3045
Aug ’24€120.42
€135.65
+12.6%
8.9%€181.88€110.04€158.7843
Jul ’24€110.32
€121.25
+9.9%
8.6%€146.59€105.36€169.8841
Jun ’24€114.56
€123.14
+7.5%
8.6%€149.71€107.61€156.8440
May ’24€95.79
€118.60
+23.8%
8.7%€145.15€94.98€154.7443
Apr ’24€94.42
€118.07
+25.0%
10.4%€146.70€85.47€139.4444
Mar ’24€84.31
€120.11
+42.5%
11.2%€149.73€87.24€127.2042
Feb ’24€89.73
€114.71
+27.8%
11.0%€145.65€84.66€130.5241
Jan ’24€82.00
€120.18
+46.6%
13.1%€175.51€87.75€126.6840
Dec ’23€96.42
€124.80
+29.4%
13.3%€180.14€90.07€120.4640
Nov ’23€93.06
€131.96
+41.8%
12.9%€186.61€98.32€118.6240

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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