Wacker Chemie Valuation

Is WCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WCH (€70.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€191.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WCH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WCH?

Key metric: As WCH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WCH. This is calculated by dividing WCH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WCH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.3x
Earnings€124.30m
Market Cap€3.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WCH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27x
WIE Wienerberger
43.7x47.0%€3.0b
MMK Mayr-Melnhof Karton
29.8x57.9%€1.4b
AMAG AMAG Austria Metall
15.9x16.4%€811.1m
ASH Ashland
18.7x5.0%US$3.7b
WCH Wacker Chemie
28.3x37.0%€3.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the peer average (27x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WCH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WCH 28.3xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WCH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WCH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.3x
Fair PE Ratio32.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€70.64
€114.87
+62.6%
12.6%€135.00€87.00n/a15
Nov ’25€78.32
€119.13
+52.1%
17.6%€178.00€87.00n/a16
Oct ’25€89.24
€124.47
+39.5%
14.6%€178.00€98.00n/a15
Sep ’25€86.94
€126.80
+45.8%
13.5%€178.00€100.00n/a15
Aug ’25€90.06
€127.87
+42.0%
14.2%€178.00€100.00n/a15
Jul ’25€100.55
€128.13
+27.4%
13.8%€178.00€103.00n/a15
Jun ’25€101.75
€127.00
+24.8%
14.3%€178.00€103.00n/a15
May ’25€100.65
€127.00
+26.2%
14.3%€178.00€103.00n/a15
Apr ’25€104.05
€122.73
+18.0%
15.2%€178.00€95.00n/a15
Mar ’25€105.15
€122.60
+16.6%
15.3%€178.00€100.00n/a15
Feb ’25€100.90
€122.60
+21.5%
15.3%€178.00€100.00n/a15
Jan ’25€114.10
€138.80
+21.6%
14.3%€178.00€108.00n/a15
Dec ’24€111.80
€144.67
+29.4%
13.4%€178.00€108.00n/a15
Nov ’24€109.80
€145.71
+32.7%
14.0%€178.00€111.00€78.3214
Oct ’24€135.70
€152.60
+12.5%
13.4%€187.00€111.00€89.2415
Sep ’24€136.10
€153.06
+12.5%
13.0%€187.00€111.00€86.9416
Aug ’24€140.15
€153.13
+9.3%
13.0%€187.00€114.00€90.0616
Jul ’24€124.80
€157.63
+26.3%
14.0%€193.00€114.00€100.5516
Jun ’24€123.55
€161.75
+30.9%
14.1%€202.00€114.00€101.7516
May ’24€140.05
€166.20
+18.7%
13.7%€202.00€114.00€100.6515
Apr ’24€149.50
€165.00
+10.4%
14.0%€202.00€114.00€104.0516
Mar ’24€148.80
€160.06
+7.6%
17.6%€202.00€104.00€105.1516
Feb ’24€145.70
€155.81
+6.9%
16.6%€185.00€104.00€100.9016
Jan ’24€119.30
€155.00
+29.9%
19.3%€210.00€104.00€114.1016
Dec ’23€123.30
€150.00
+21.7%
20.9%€210.00€104.00€111.8016
Nov ’23€116.50
€150.38
+29.1%
21.1%€210.00€104.00€109.8016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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