Wienerberger Valuation

Is WIE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WIE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WIE (€26.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€77.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WIE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WIE?

Key metric: As WIE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WIE. This is calculated by dividing WIE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WIE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.4x
Earnings€67.92m
Market Cap€2.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WIE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WIE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
MMK Mayr-Melnhof Karton
28.1x57.9%€1.4b
AMAG AMAG Austria Metall
16.9x16.4%€864.0m
600801 Huaxin Cement
13x14.3%CN¥22.4b
CMA Ciments du Maroc Société Anonyme
28.8x7.5%د.م27.8b
WIE Wienerberger
43.4x47.0%€2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WIE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.4x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WIE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WIE 43.4xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WIE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.4x) compared to the European Basic Materials industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WIE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WIE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.4x
Fair PE Ratio35.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WIE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WIE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€26.44
€34.69
+31.2%
11.9%€40.00€25.00n/a8
Dec ’25€26.62
€34.69
+30.3%
11.9%€40.00€25.00n/a8
Nov ’25€28.08
€36.75
+30.9%
11.6%€41.50€27.00n/a8
Oct ’25€29.36
€36.75
+25.2%
11.6%€41.50€27.00n/a8
Sep ’25€29.86
€36.75
+23.1%
11.6%€41.50€27.00n/a8
Aug ’25€32.08
€37.38
+16.5%
14.7%€45.00€25.00n/a8
Jul ’25€31.12
€37.22
+19.6%
14.0%€45.00€25.00n/a9
Jun ’25€34.50
€37.22
+7.9%
14.0%€45.00€25.00n/a9
May ’25€33.56
€35.72
+6.4%
15.1%€45.00€25.00n/a9
Apr ’25€33.76
€35.39
+4.8%
14.7%€45.00€25.00n/a9
Mar ’25€32.18
€34.09
+5.9%
16.8%€45.00€25.00n/a9
Feb ’25€31.20
€32.92
+5.5%
11.3%€37.00€26.80n/a9
Jan ’25€30.22
€32.26
+6.7%
10.3%€36.00€26.80n/a9
Dec ’24€26.38
€32.26
+22.3%
10.3%€36.00€26.80€26.629
Nov ’24€22.94
€32.56
+41.9%
11.2%€36.00€25.00€28.089
Oct ’24€24.04
€33.74
+40.3%
8.6%€37.50€27.00€29.3610
Sep ’24€25.36
€33.69
+32.8%
8.6%€37.50€27.00€29.8610
Aug ’24€29.66
€33.64
+13.4%
8.7%€37.50€27.00€32.0810
Jul ’24€28.04
€33.19
+18.4%
8.9%€37.00€27.00€31.1210
Jun ’24€26.72
€32.99
+23.5%
8.8%€37.00€27.00€34.5010
May ’24€27.30
€32.28
+18.2%
10.6%€37.00€26.10€33.5611
Apr ’24€26.64
€32.19
+20.8%
10.6%€37.00€26.10€33.7611
Mar ’24€29.52
€32.19
+9.0%
10.6%€37.00€26.10€32.1811
Feb ’24€27.64
€30.99
+12.1%
13.0%€37.00€23.00€31.2011
Jan ’24€22.56
€31.26
+38.6%
14.7%€40.00€23.00€30.2211
Dec ’23€25.06
€31.04
+23.8%
14.8%€40.00€23.00€26.3811

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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