Voestalpine Valuation

Is VOE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOE (€25.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€38.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VOE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.1x
PEG Ratio-3.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
WIE Wienerberger
10.2x10.8%€3.4b
MMK Mayr-Melnhof Karton
36x41.5%€2.3b
AMAG AMAG Austria Metall
17.7x18.3%€934.5m
5406 Kobe Steel
5.5x-8.5%JP¥757.7b
VOE Voestalpine
6.8x-1.9%€4.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VOE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VOE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.10
€29.45
+17.3%
14.3%€38.00€22.20n/a12
Apr ’25€26.00
€29.89
+15.0%
13.7%€39.00€24.80n/a12
Mar ’25€25.48
€30.18
+18.5%
13.1%€39.00€25.80n/a12
Feb ’25€27.58
€30.40
+10.2%
12.4%€39.00€25.80n/a12
Jan ’25€28.56
€30.69
+7.5%
15.1%€40.00€25.80n/a11
Dec ’24€26.58
€30.17
+13.5%
16.7%€40.00€24.80n/a11
Nov ’24€23.60
€30.79
+30.5%
17.9%€40.00€23.60n/a11
Oct ’24€25.84
€32.50
+25.8%
15.6%€40.00€24.20n/a12
Sep ’24€27.68
€32.63
+17.9%
15.2%€40.00€24.20n/a12
Aug ’24€29.76
€34.23
+15.0%
13.8%€41.00€25.40n/a12
Jul ’24€32.90
€34.83
+5.9%
14.0%€41.00€25.10n/a12
Jun ’24€28.90
€35.83
+24.0%
13.7%€42.00€25.10n/a11
May ’24€31.38
€36.05
+14.9%
14.8%€44.00€25.10n/a10
Apr ’24€31.28
€35.40
+13.2%
17.7%€44.00€22.40€26.0012
Mar ’24€35.04
€35.13
+0.2%
18.2%€44.00€23.40€25.4811
Feb ’24€30.64
€32.05
+4.6%
15.9%€40.00€21.50€27.5811
Jan ’24€24.78
€27.52
+11.0%
20.4%€40.00€20.00€28.5613
Dec ’23€26.10
€27.15
+4.0%
21.0%€40.00€19.60€26.5813
Nov ’23€21.94
€25.55
+16.5%
20.7%€40.00€18.90€23.6013
Oct ’23€17.51
€27.21
+55.4%
22.3%€40.00€18.90€25.8415
Sep ’23€19.83
€28.81
+45.3%
22.6%€41.00€21.00€27.6816
Aug ’23€22.16
€29.17
+31.6%
23.5%€41.00€21.00€29.7616
Jul ’23€20.46
€31.80
+55.4%
19.2%€41.00€20.00€32.9016
Jun ’23€26.90
€34.68
+28.9%
18.6%€45.00€23.00€28.9016
May ’23€25.06
€34.46
+37.5%
18.9%€45.00€23.00€31.3816
Apr ’23€26.98
€35.99
+33.4%
14.7%€43.00€27.50€31.2816

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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