Does Mayr-Melnhof Karton (VIE:MMK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG (VIE:MMK) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Mayr-Melnhof Karton
What Is Mayr-Melnhof Karton's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Mayr-Melnhof Karton had €1.29b of debt, an increase on €266.5m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €1.23b, its net debt is less, at about €63.7m.
A Look At Mayr-Melnhof Karton's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Mayr-Melnhof Karton had liabilities of €565.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €1.38b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €1.23b in cash and €468.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €250.2m.
Given Mayr-Melnhof Karton has a market capitalization of €3.24b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Mayr-Melnhof Karton has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.18. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 40.5 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, Mayr-Melnhof Karton's EBIT dived 13%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mayr-Melnhof Karton can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Mayr-Melnhof Karton produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Mayr-Melnhof Karton's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Mayr-Melnhof Karton can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Mayr-Melnhof Karton that you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About WBAG:MMK
Mayr-Melnhof Karton
Manufactures and sells cartonboard and folding cartons in Germany, Austria, and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.