Corteva Valuation

Is CTVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CTVA (€58.39) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€64.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CTVA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTVA?

Key metric: As CTVA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CTVA. This is calculated by dividing CTVA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CTVA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio62.8x
EarningsUS$670.00m
Market CapUS$42.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CTVA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CTVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.3x
NTR Nutrien
31.6x34.8%CA$32.4b
WIE Wienerberger
43.7x47.0%€3.0b
000792 Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd
18x10.5%CN¥98.4b
2020 SABIC Agri-Nutrients
15.9x3.0%ر.س53.3b
CTVA Corteva
62.8x26.8%€42.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CTVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.8x) compared to the peer average (27.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CTVA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CTVA 62.8xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CTVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.8x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTVA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTVA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio62.8x
Fair PE Ratio34x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CTVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€58.39
€62.66
+7.3%
6.9%€67.73€54.38n/a22
Nov ’25€56.28
€59.21
+5.2%
7.6%€64.72€50.85n/a22
Oct ’25€52.94
€56.80
+7.3%
7.3%€62.98€49.48n/a22
Sep ’25€51.50
€56.80
+10.3%
7.3%€62.98€49.48n/a22
Aug ’25€50.17
€58.64
+16.9%
6.5%€64.87€51.90n/a21
Jul ’25€49.54
€58.90
+18.9%
6.8%€65.20€50.30n/a21
Jun ’25€50.74
€58.67
+15.6%
6.8%€64.53€49.78n/a20
May ’25€51.00
€58.46
+14.6%
7.5%€65.58€49.65n/a23
Apr ’25€53.70
€57.20
+6.5%
7.7%€64.89€49.13n/a23
Mar ’25€50.20
€57.03
+13.6%
7.4%€64.76€49.04n/a24
Feb ’25€48.85
€54.44
+11.5%
9.9%€64.40€46.00n/a24
Jan ’25€43.50
€53.70
+23.4%
9.6%€65.36€45.52n/a24
Dec ’24€42.40
€53.70
+26.7%
9.6%€65.36€45.52n/a24
Nov ’24€45.15
€61.88
+37.0%
10.7%€77.24€49.92€56.2823
Oct ’24€48.65
€65.04
+33.7%
8.2%€77.42€53.82€52.9422
Sep ’24€47.35
€63.46
+34.0%
8.3%€75.40€52.41€51.5022
Aug ’24€51.20
€63.13
+23.3%
8.3%€74.13€51.53€50.1723
Jul ’24€52.20
€65.50
+25.5%
7.2%€75.13€55.89€49.5423
Jun ’24€49.75
€66.89
+34.4%
7.8%€80.86€56.69€50.7422
May ’24€54.50
€66.50
+22.0%
8.1%€79.37€54.74€51.0021
Apr ’24€55.54
€68.53
+23.4%
7.8%€81.58€56.26€53.7021
Mar ’24€58.74
€68.03
+15.8%
8.1%€81.21€56.00€50.2021
Feb ’24€58.92
€67.20
+14.0%
7.7%€79.95€56.98€48.8521
Jan ’24€55.18
€68.29
+23.8%
7.8%€82.09€58.50€43.5020
Dec ’23€63.12
€68.95
+9.2%
8.0%€82.65€58.90€42.4020
Nov ’23€67.88
€71.65
+5.6%
6.8%€81.77€62.35€45.1520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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