McCormick & Company, Incorporated

WBAG:MKC Stock Report

Market Cap: €18.8b

McCormick Valuation

Is MKC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MKC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MKC (€70.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€95.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MKC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MKC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MKC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20x
PEG Ratio3.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MKC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MKC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
AGR AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft
9.4x3.5%€837.4m
MAN Josef Manner & Comp
37.5xn/a€207.9m
K Kellanova
25.7x13.2%US$19.7b
HRL Hormel Foods
24.4x8.7%US$19.3b
MKC McCormick
28.7x7.6%€20.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MKC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MKC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MKC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MKC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MKC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MKC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MKC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€70.92
€70.52
-0.6%
10.0%€85.76€57.80n/a17
Apr ’25€71.42
€68.98
-3.4%
10.7%€85.28€52.84n/a17
Mar ’25€62.68
€65.67
+4.8%
11.1%€80.40€52.67n/a17
Feb ’25€62.72
€65.69
+4.7%
11.4%€80.04€52.44n/a16
Jan ’25€61.76
€67.17
+8.8%
10.8%€78.34€53.13n/a16
Dec ’24€60.12
€69.97
+16.4%
11.0%€81.29€55.13n/a15
Nov ’24€61.24
€70.87
+15.7%
11.1%€82.41€55.88n/a15
Oct ’24€71.70
€80.43
+12.2%
12.7%€94.62€59.61n/a15
Sep ’24€75.26
€79.29
+5.4%
14.1%€91.95€57.93n/a13
Aug ’24€81.02
€77.76
-4.0%
13.9%€90.87€57.25n/a14
Jul ’24€79.92
€77.31
-3.3%
14.5%€91.64€57.73n/a14
Jun ’24€80.76
€72.34
-10.4%
12.4%€90.76€58.95n/a13
May ’24€78.08
€71.24
-8.8%
13.5%€88.42€57.42n/a13
Apr ’24€76.06
€71.32
-6.2%
12.4%€89.48€58.12€71.4213
Mar ’24€68.29
€69.41
+1.6%
12.3%€83.37€57.43€62.6813
Feb ’24€68.79
€68.74
-0.07%
12.1%€82.83€57.06€62.7213
Jan ’24€78.72
€74.25
-5.7%
12.5%€89.64€58.50€61.7613
Dec ’23€81.80
€76.08
-7.0%
13.1%€92.72€59.88€60.1213
Nov ’23€79.75
€78.63
-1.4%
12.5%€97.40€62.91€61.2412
Oct ’23€74.42
€80.88
+8.7%
12.6%€97.56€61.72€71.7012
Sep ’23€85.35
€83.04
-2.7%
11.3%€95.46€60.39€75.2612
Aug ’23€85.51
€84.61
-1.1%
12.1%€98.00€60.76€81.0212
Jul ’23€77.86
€84.16
+8.1%
13.6%€104.04€60.13€79.9212
Jun ’23€84.67
€88.11
+4.1%
14.2%€104.21€59.69€80.7612
May ’23€96.70
€88.11
-8.9%
14.2%€104.21€59.69€78.0812
Apr ’23€91.25
€82.14
-10.0%
13.1%€95.08€57.05€76.0612

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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