Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft

WBAG:DBK Stock Report

Market Cap: €31.2b

Deutsche Bank Valuation

Is DBK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DBK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DBK (€16.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€39.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DBK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DBK?

Key metric: As DBK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DBK. This is calculated by dividing DBK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DBK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8x
Earnings€3.89b
Market Cap€31.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DBK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DBK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
MQG Macquarie Group
23.4x9.9%AU$83.7b
BPAC11 Banco BTG Pactual
14.3x14.5%R$162.6b
UBSG UBS Group
22.4x25.6%CHF 89.4b
INL Investec Group
8.9x10.4%R124.1b
DBK Deutsche Bank
8x13.4%€31.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the peer average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DBK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Capital Markets Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DBK 8.0xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies36PE01224364860+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the European Capital Markets industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DBK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DBK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DBK's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DBK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.18
€17.99
+11.2%
18.6%€23.20€10.90n/a15
Nov ’25€15.81
€17.98
+13.7%
18.5%€23.20€10.90n/a15
Oct ’25€15.36
€17.22
+12.1%
19.0%€22.30€10.90n/a16
Sep ’25€14.72
€17.80
+20.9%
38.3%€43.00€10.90n/a18
Aug ’25€14.00
€17.79
+27.1%
38.3%€43.00€10.90n/a18
Jul ’25€15.41
€17.53
+13.7%
38.9%€43.00€10.90n/a18
Jun ’25€15.19
€17.50
+15.2%
38.8%€43.00€10.90n/a18
May ’25€15.02
€17.18
+14.3%
39.4%€43.00€10.90n/a18
Apr ’25€14.60
€15.78
+8.1%
44.5%€43.00€10.90n/a18
Mar ’25€12.54
€15.58
+24.3%
43.9%€43.00€10.90n/a19
Feb ’25€12.40
€15.02
+21.1%
46.7%€43.00€9.80n/a19
Jan ’25€12.32
€14.94
+21.2%
47.0%€43.00€9.80n/a19
Dec ’24€11.52
€14.96
+29.9%
47.0%€43.00€9.80n/a19
Nov ’24€10.44
€14.96
+43.3%
47.5%€43.00€9.80€15.8119
Oct ’24€10.46
€14.93
+42.7%
48.5%€43.00€9.80€15.3618
Sep ’24€10.09
€14.67
+45.4%
48.6%€43.00€9.80€14.7219
Aug ’24€10.01
€14.63
+46.1%
48.7%€43.00€9.80€14.0019
Jul ’24€9.63
€15.07
+56.5%
46.8%€43.00€10.50€15.4119
Jun ’24€9.58
€14.98
+56.3%
45.9%€43.00€10.50€15.1920
May ’24€9.93
€14.97
+50.7%
46.0%€43.00€10.50€15.0220
Apr ’24€9.39
€15.32
+63.1%
44.1%€43.00€10.90€14.6020
Mar ’24€11.60
€15.40
+32.8%
44.1%€43.00€10.90€12.5420
Feb ’24€12.29
€14.67
+19.3%
47.0%€43.00€9.50€12.4020
Jan ’24€10.62
€14.42
+35.8%
49.1%€43.00€9.50€12.3219
Dec ’23€9.95
€14.31
+43.9%
49.9%€43.00€9.50€11.5219
Nov ’23€9.73
€13.78
+41.6%
53.9%€43.00€5.80€10.4419

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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