Coinbase Global Valuation

Is COIN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COIN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COIN (€268) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€120.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COIN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COIN?

Key metric: As COIN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for COIN. This is calculated by dividing COIN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is COIN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.9x
EarningsUS$1.56b
Market CapUS$68.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COIN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COIN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.5x
300059 East Money InformationLtd
51.4x12.6%CN¥412.2b
MCO Moody's
42.2x9.4%US$83.7b
CME CME Group
25.1x3.1%US$85.3b
ICE Intercontinental Exchange
35.5x11.4%US$85.1b
COIN Coinbase Global
43.9x-18.3%€68.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COIN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.9x) compared to the peer average (38.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COIN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Capital Markets Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
COIN 43.9xIndustry Avg. 13.0xNo. of Companies39PE01224364860+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COIN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.9x) compared to the European Capital Markets industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COIN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COIN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate COIN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COIN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€268.00
€280.24
+4.6%
24.1%€402.70€143.82n/a25
Dec ’25€294.90
€247.42
-16.1%
27.4%€381.12€142.92n/a25
Nov ’25€172.48
€217.94
+26.4%
22.6%€321.79€124.12n/a23
Oct ’25€148.56
€221.54
+49.1%
25.4%€358.32€120.93n/a23
Sep ’25€163.72
€224.15
+36.9%
24.5%€358.64€116.56n/a23
Aug ’25€200.85
€236.93
+18.0%
25.0%€370.68€120.47n/a24
Jul ’25€214.80
€239.45
+11.5%
26.5%€421.34€121.72n/a23
Jun ’25€207.60
€232.93
+12.2%
27.4%€413.87€119.56n/a22
May ’25€196.04
€224.43
+14.5%
33.0%€420.89€102.88n/a23
Apr ’25€247.80
€181.95
-26.6%
35.6%€325.85€74.48n/a23
Mar ’25€188.48
€153.08
-18.8%
30.4%€231.03€73.93n/a23
Feb ’25€116.22
€116.91
+0.6%
34.8%€184.24€55.27n/a23
Jan ’25€169.14
€92.70
-45.2%
38.6%€181.60€35.41n/a22
Dec ’24€119.72
€78.54
-34.4%
39.1%€136.71€31.90€294.9023
Nov ’24€73.90
€80.68
+9.2%
40.8%€141.95€25.55€172.4823
Oct ’24€71.12
€81.27
+14.3%
47.4%€183.32€24.75€148.5621
Sep ’24€73.05
€81.27
+11.3%
47.4%€183.32€24.75€163.7221
Aug ’24€83.09
€72.76
-12.4%
51.7%€182.10€24.58€200.8522
Jul ’24€64.37
€61.91
-3.8%
49.8%€182.70€24.66€214.8022
Jun ’24€58.92
€61.96
+5.2%
48.9%€183.88€24.82€207.6023
May ’24€47.98
€63.81
+33.0%
49.3%€182.30€27.35€196.0422
Apr ’24€62.56
€63.79
+2.0%
51.3%€184.38€27.66€247.8021
Mar ’24€60.21
€59.38
-1.4%
32.5%€94.32€28.30€188.4823
Feb ’24€53.04
€52.79
-0.5%
41.4%€110.52€27.63€116.2225
Jan ’24€32.01
€67.06
+109.5%
39.7%€146.13€28.28€169.1424
Dec ’23€43.43
€71.66
+65.0%
37.0%€150.43€39.79€119.7224

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 12:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Coinbase Global, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Benjamin BudishBarclays
Jason KupferbergBofA Global Research