Banca Generali Valuation

Is BGN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BGN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BGN (€43.56) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€37.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BGN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BGN?

Key metric: As BGN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BGN. This is calculated by dividing BGN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BGN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.1x
Earnings€409.65m
Market Cap€4.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BGN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BGN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.6x
ARG Argo Investments
27.1xn/aAU$6.9b
NAM-INDIA Nippon Life India Asset Management
32.6x12.2%₹430.1b
EFGN EFG International
11.8x6.3%CHF 3.6b
INVFALC1 Inverfal PerúA
82.8xn/aS/21.1b
BGN Banca Generali
12.1x-4.6%€5.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BGN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (38.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BGN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Capital Markets Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BGN 12.1xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies38PE01224364860+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BGN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the European Capital Markets industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BGN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BGN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BGN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BGN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€43.56
€42.54
-2.3%
7.4%€48.80€37.40n/a9
Nov ’25€40.80
€41.99
+2.9%
7.1%€48.80€37.40n/a9
Oct ’25€40.56
€41.98
+3.5%
7.1%€48.60€37.40n/a10
Sep ’25€40.34
€41.98
+4.1%
7.1%€48.60€37.40n/a10
Aug ’25€40.30
€42.05
+4.3%
6.7%€48.60€39.10n/a10
Jul ’25€37.88
€39.37
+3.9%
5.6%€43.00€33.90n/a10
Jun ’25€38.36
€38.90
+1.4%
7.1%€43.00€33.80n/a10
May ’25€36.80
€36.28
-1.4%
6.1%€40.00€31.80n/a9
Apr ’25€37.04
€35.18
-5.0%
5.4%€38.50€31.80n/a9
Mar ’25€34.35
€35.18
+2.4%
5.4%€38.50€31.80n/a9
Feb ’25€35.39
€34.84
-1.6%
5.4%€38.50€31.80n/a10
Jan ’25€33.70
€34.11
+1.2%
5.8%€37.00€31.10n/a10
Dec ’24€32.79
€34.11
+4.0%
5.8%€37.00€31.10n/a10
Nov ’24€30.71
€34.17
+11.3%
5.6%€37.00€31.10€40.8010
Oct ’24€33.80
€34.53
+2.2%
4.7%€37.00€32.00€40.5610
Sep ’24€33.88
€34.55
+2.0%
4.6%€37.00€32.00€40.3410
Aug ’24€34.36
€34.40
+0.1%
5.4%€37.00€31.00€40.3010
Jul ’24€31.44
€34.09
+8.4%
5.8%€37.00€31.00€37.8810
Jun ’24€29.13
€34.85
+19.6%
8.5%€41.40€31.00€38.3610
May ’24€30.55
€35.13
+15.0%
8.7%€41.40€30.50€36.8010
Apr ’24€29.49
€36.26
+23.0%
6.1%€41.40€32.30€37.0410
Mar ’24€32.61
€36.26
+11.2%
6.1%€41.40€32.30€34.3510
Feb ’24€34.00
€34.13
+0.4%
5.6%€38.00€31.70€35.399
Jan ’24€32.26
€34.13
+5.8%
5.6%€38.00€31.70€33.709
Dec ’23€31.94
€34.13
+6.9%
5.6%€38.00€31.70€32.799
Nov ’23€30.27
€33.16
+9.5%
6.1%€36.00€30.00€30.719

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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