Amadeus IT Group Valuation

Is AMAD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMAD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMAD (€66.48) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€41.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMAD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMAD?

Key metric: As AMAD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMAD. This is calculated by dividing AMAD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMAD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.8x
Earnings€1.27b
Market Cap€28.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMAD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMAD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.6x
EXPE Expedia Group
22.1x15.4%US$23.7b
IHG InterContinental Hotels Group
30.5x10.9%UK£15.5b
TCOM Trip.com Group
18.8x9.0%US$41.4b
VIK Viking Holdings
63.1x51.0%US$19.6b
AMAD Amadeus IT Group
22.8x10.7%€28.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMAD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the peer average (33.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMAD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AMAD 22.8xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies20PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMAD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMAD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMAD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AMAD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMAD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€66.48
€73.75
+10.9%
7.8%€85.00€65.00n/a22
Nov ’25€66.68
€72.25
+8.4%
7.8%€84.00€62.00n/a22
Oct ’25€65.66
€71.84
+9.4%
8.5%€85.00€60.00n/a23
Sep ’25€61.10
€71.97
+17.8%
8.5%€85.00€60.00n/a23
Aug ’25€58.78
€72.21
+22.8%
8.5%€85.00€60.00n/a23
Jul ’25€62.80
€72.11
+14.8%
9.0%€87.00€60.00n/a23
Jun ’25€65.62
€71.40
+8.8%
8.3%€82.00€60.00n/a23
May ’25€59.16
€71.06
+20.1%
8.4%€80.00€58.00n/a23
Apr ’25€59.60
€70.64
+18.5%
8.9%€80.00€58.00n/a24
Mar ’25€57.08
€70.81
+24.0%
9.0%€80.00€58.00n/a24
Feb ’25€65.18
€71.66
+9.9%
8.9%€80.00€58.00n/a24
Jan ’25€65.22
€71.01
+8.9%
9.5%€80.00€55.00n/a24
Dec ’24€63.36
€71.06
+12.1%
9.5%€80.00€55.00n/a24
Nov ’24€53.84
€70.71
+31.3%
9.6%€80.00€55.00€66.6824
Oct ’24€58.08
€71.02
+22.3%
9.5%€80.00€55.00€65.6624
Sep ’24€63.54
€71.04
+11.8%
9.5%€79.00€55.00€61.1024
Aug ’24€68.38
€70.91
+3.7%
9.7%€79.00€55.00€58.7824
Jul ’24€69.76
€69.30
-0.7%
11.7%€80.00€55.00€62.8023
Jun ’24€67.50
€68.10
+0.9%
10.7%€78.00€55.00€65.6222
May ’24€63.60
€64.60
+1.6%
13.3%€77.00€39.20€59.1623
Apr ’24€60.44
€63.00
+4.2%
13.0%€74.00€39.20€59.6022
Mar ’24€55.60
€62.13
+11.7%
12.4%€73.00€39.20€57.0823
Feb ’24€57.80
€60.86
+5.3%
12.2%€73.00€39.20€65.1824
Jan ’24€48.94
€60.83
+24.3%
12.2%€73.00€39.20€65.2224
Dec ’23€52.12
€60.29
+15.7%
11.5%€73.00€39.20€63.3624
Nov ’23€52.38
€60.45
+15.4%
11.0%€73.00€39.20€53.8424

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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