Kroger Valuation

Is KR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KR (€51.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€101.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.1x
PEG Ratio3.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
L Loblaw Companies
26x0.1%CA$53.8b
ATD Alimentation Couche-Tard
18.4x9.9%CA$69.2b
TSCO Tesco
12.6x1.5%UK£23.8b
AD Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize
15.4x9.0%€28.6b
KR Kroger
14.7x4.7%€40.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KR's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€51.68
€54.21
+4.9%
7.5%€64.44€47.87n/a20
Oct ’25€51.35
€52.64
+2.5%
8.5%€62.99€43.20n/a20
Sep ’25€47.70
€52.27
+9.6%
8.6%€62.98€43.19n/a19
Aug ’25€50.85
€53.32
+4.9%
8.6%€64.30€44.09n/a19
Jul ’25€46.48
€54.18
+16.6%
8.6%€65.32€44.79n/a19
Jun ’25€48.03
€53.87
+12.2%
8.8%€65.00€44.57n/a20
May ’25€51.73
€54.81
+5.9%
8.7%€65.91€45.19n/a21
Apr ’25€53.00
€54.21
+2.3%
7.8%€64.89€46.35n/a20
Mar ’25€45.58
€47.55
+4.3%
8.8%€59.93€42.41n/a20
Feb ’25€42.74
€46.83
+9.6%
10.1%€59.95€38.74n/a20
Jan ’25€40.84
€46.78
+14.5%
10.0%€59.54€38.47n/a21
Dec ’24€40.54
€46.83
+15.5%
10.2%€59.77€38.62n/a20
Nov ’24€43.20
€48.53
+12.3%
9.8%€61.22€39.56€52.1320
Oct ’24€42.50
€48.74
+14.7%
9.8%€61.37€39.66€51.3520
Sep ’24€42.76
€47.83
+11.9%
9.8%€60.17€38.88€47.7020
Aug ’24€44.04
€47.26
+7.3%
9.3%€59.11€38.19€50.8520
Jul ’24€42.86
€47.61
+11.1%
9.3%€59.61€38.51€46.4820
Jun ’24€41.70
€49.37
+18.4%
12.0%€69.63€38.99€48.0319
May ’24€44.22
€48.05
+8.7%
11.9%€67.91€38.03€51.7320
Apr ’24€45.50
€48.60
+6.8%
12.1%€68.77€38.51€53.0020
Mar ’24€40.44
€49.62
+22.7%
13.6%€70.70€39.59€45.5819
Feb ’24€40.68
€48.37
+18.9%
13.6%€68.27€38.23€42.7419
Jan ’24€41.67
€50.41
+21.0%
13.4%€70.71€41.48€40.8418
Dec ’23€46.36
€50.85
+9.7%
14.8%€71.25€40.85€40.5416
Nov ’23€47.72
€54.51
+14.2%
14.5%€75.92€43.52€43.2017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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