Moncler Valuation

Is MONC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MONC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MONC (€65) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€34.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MONC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MONC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MONC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.6x
PEG Ratio3.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MONC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MONC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
1913 Prada
29x10.3%HK$163.3b
PNDORA Pandora
18.6x9.8%kr.88.2b
2313 Shenzhou International Group Holdings
23.3x13.6%HK$114.5b
2020 ANTA Sports Products
22.9x12.9%HK$253.1b
MONC Moncler
28.5x8.7%€17.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MONC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MONC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MONC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MONC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MONC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MONC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MONC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€65.00
€69.86
+7.5%
9.6%€81.00€47.50n/a23
Apr ’25€68.90
€67.36
-2.2%
10.3%€81.00€47.50n/a23
Mar ’25€66.08
€65.74
-0.5%
10.1%€76.00€47.50n/a24
Feb ’25€52.08
€61.81
+18.7%
9.4%€70.00€47.50n/a25
Jan ’25€55.88
€63.21
+13.1%
11.2%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Dec ’24€50.72
€63.73
+25.6%
10.8%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Nov ’24€49.11
€64.41
+31.2%
11.0%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Oct ’24€53.10
€68.56
+29.1%
10.0%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Sep ’24€62.48
€70.82
+13.3%
11.7%€80.00€47.50n/a24
Aug ’24€65.80
€70.28
+6.8%
13.7%€80.00€45.00n/a24
Jul ’24€62.76
€69.55
+10.8%
13.9%€80.00€45.00n/a24
Jun ’24€63.78
€69.73
+9.3%
13.9%€80.00€45.00n/a24
May ’24€67.96
€65.74
-3.3%
13.2%€80.00€41.50n/a24
Apr ’24€63.02
€62.86
-0.2%
12.2%€75.00€41.50€68.9024
Mar ’24€59.68
€61.57
+3.2%
11.4%€70.00€41.50€66.0825
Feb ’24€57.02
€58.32
+2.3%
11.0%€70.00€41.50€52.0825
Jan ’24€49.68
€57.18
+15.1%
11.4%€70.00€41.50€55.8825
Dec ’23€49.94
€57.18
+14.5%
12.2%€70.00€37.50€50.7225
Nov ’23€44.00
€57.80
+31.4%
12.4%€70.00€37.50€49.1126
Oct ’23€42.40
€58.50
+38.0%
13.1%€70.00€37.50€53.1026
Sep ’23€43.62
€59.22
+35.8%
11.9%€70.00€37.50€62.4825
Aug ’23€49.23
€58.46
+18.7%
12.3%€70.00€37.50€65.8025
Jul ’23€40.46
€59.83
+47.9%
11.1%€70.00€37.50€62.7625
Jun ’23€44.84
€62.54
+39.5%
11.8%€74.00€37.50€63.7825
May ’23€50.36
€62.79
+24.7%
14.2%€74.00€27.00€67.9625
Apr ’23€50.62
€63.19
+24.8%
15.2%€75.30€27.00€63.0224

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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