Prada S.p.A.

SEHK:1913 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$160.4b

Prada Valuation

Is 1913 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1913 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1913 (HK$62.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$41.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1913 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1913?

Key metric: As 1913 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1913. This is calculated by dividing 1913's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1913's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.5x
Earnings€749.36m
Market Cap€19.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1913's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1913 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
2020 ANTA Sports Products
16.1x7.6%HK$225.7b
2313 Shenzhou International Group Holdings
16.5x12.8%HK$94.0b
3998 Bosideng International Holdings
12.7x13.0%HK$44.4b
2331 Li Ning
13.3x9.4%HK$42.6b
1913 Prada
26.5x11.3%HK$160.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1913 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the peer average (14.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1913's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Luxury Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8211 Zhejiang Yongan Rongtong Holdings
1xn/aUS$5.48m
No more companies available in this PE range
1913 26.5xIndustry Avg. 9.6xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1913 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the Hong Kong Luxury industry average (9.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1913's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1913 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.5x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1913 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1913 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$62.80
HK$69.00
+9.9%
9.4%HK$79.46HK$49.01n/a20
Dec ’25HK$53.30
HK$67.58
+26.8%
9.3%HK$78.04HK$49.74n/a21
Nov ’25HK$58.20
HK$68.50
+17.7%
9.8%HK$79.88HK$50.92n/a21
Oct ’25HK$60.00
HK$67.45
+12.4%
9.1%HK$77.31HK$51.98n/a20
Sep ’25HK$55.75
HK$70.37
+26.2%
9.0%HK$80.91HK$52.18n/a20
Aug ’25HK$59.60
HK$68.84
+15.5%
9.1%HK$79.01HK$50.96n/a20
Jul ’25HK$58.40
HK$69.46
+18.9%
7.0%HK$78.37HK$62.94n/a18
Jun ’25HK$64.50
HK$69.02
+7.0%
8.4%HK$77.54HK$51.69n/a19
May ’25HK$64.30
HK$67.95
+5.7%
8.5%HK$76.45HK$50.97n/a19
Apr ’25HK$62.00
HK$63.95
+3.1%
12.1%HK$74.73HK$42.11n/a18
Mar ’25HK$55.90
HK$57.04
+2.0%
14.8%HK$70.18HK$39.28n/a19
Feb ’25HK$48.15
HK$57.36
+19.1%
14.2%HK$74.31HK$42.01n/a20
Jan ’25HK$44.65
HK$60.03
+34.4%
13.4%HK$75.42HK$45.79n/a20
Dec ’24HK$42.45
HK$59.45
+40.0%
13.5%HK$74.50HK$45.23HK$53.3020
Nov ’24HK$45.15
HK$60.02
+32.9%
13.1%HK$72.47HK$44.00HK$58.2020
Oct ’24HK$46.10
HK$61.03
+32.4%
13.3%HK$75.47HK$44.61HK$60.0020
Sep ’24HK$51.25
HK$66.44
+29.6%
11.0%HK$76.85HK$47.32HK$55.7520
Aug ’24HK$55.00
HK$67.55
+22.8%
10.7%HK$77.12HK$47.92HK$59.6020
Jul ’24HK$52.50
HK$67.39
+28.4%
12.4%HK$78.34HK$48.15HK$58.4020
Jun ’24HK$51.95
HK$66.60
+28.2%
11.5%HK$77.02HK$47.34HK$64.5020
May ’24HK$57.60
HK$65.31
+13.4%
13.6%HK$79.27HK$39.26HK$64.3020
Apr ’24HK$55.65
HK$61.39
+10.3%
16.0%HK$78.03HK$38.65HK$62.0020
Mar ’24HK$53.85
HK$56.86
+5.6%
13.5%HK$75.40HK$38.24HK$55.9021
Feb ’24HK$50.00
HK$57.24
+14.5%
14.0%HK$76.07HK$39.17HK$48.1521
Jan ’24HK$44.10
HK$56.11
+27.2%
14.7%HK$75.91HK$38.08HK$44.6521
Dec ’23HK$42.85
HK$55.83
+30.3%
14.7%HK$76.80HK$38.87HK$42.4521

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 17:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Prada S.p.A. is covered by 63 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
Carole MadjoBarclays
Julian EasthopeBarclays