LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

WBAG:MC Stock Report

Market Cap: €291.2b

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne Valuation

Is MC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MC (€583.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€596.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MC?

Key metric: As MC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MC. This is calculated by dividing MC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
Earnings€13.96b
Market Cap€291.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.6x
RMS Hermès International Société en commandite par actions
47.5x8.9%€211.6b
CDI Christian Dior
17xn/a€99.0b
CFR Compagnie Financière Richemont
22.2x9.1%CHF 70.0b
LULU Lululemon Athletica
23.8x7.2%US$38.9b
MC LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne
20.9x6.7%€291.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (27.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MC 20.9xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€583.40
€695.91
+19.3%
8.6%€800.00€560.00n/a28
Nov ’25€610.60
€705.36
+15.5%
8.4%€800.00€560.00n/a28
Oct ’25€678.40
€767.77
+13.2%
9.5%€900.00€600.00n/a26
Sep ’25€677.90
€812.92
+19.9%
9.2%€950.00€650.00n/a26
Aug ’25€644.00
€822.88
+27.8%
9.7%€950.00€643.00n/a26
Jul ’25€730.90
€866.15
+18.5%
8.9%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Jun ’25€732.00
€879.50
+20.2%
8.2%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
May ’25€779.90
€879.23
+12.7%
8.2%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Apr ’25€818.40
€874.15
+6.8%
8.8%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Mar ’25€846.60
€855.63
+1.1%
9.0%€1,000.00€670.00n/a27
Feb ’25€764.30
€839.50
+9.8%
8.1%€1,000.00€670.00n/a28
Jan ’25€738.30
€840.79
+13.9%
9.1%€1,000.00€640.00n/a28
Dec ’24€697.90
€843.93
+20.9%
9.0%€1,000.00€640.00n/a28
Nov ’24€676.60
€857.79
+26.8%
8.9%€1,000.00€640.00€610.6027
Oct ’24€723.70
€902.38
+24.7%
8.7%€1,020.00€640.00€678.4026
Sep ’24€800.30
€943.23
+17.9%
7.9%€1,025.00€640.00€677.9026
Aug ’24€833.30
€948.65
+13.8%
8.2%€1,060.00€640.00€644.0026
Jul ’24€856.90
€944.38
+10.2%
8.6%€1,060.00€640.00€730.9026
Jun ’24€807.00
€943.62
+16.9%
8.4%€1,060.00€640.00€732.0026
May ’24€881.40
€930.23
+5.5%
9.0%€1,030.00€640.00€779.9027
Apr ’24€831.30
€873.15
+5.0%
10.6%€1,000.00€590.00€818.4027
Mar ’24€804.40
€849.34
+5.6%
9.9%€1,000.00€590.00€846.6030
Feb ’24€797.80
€842.07
+5.5%
9.7%€1,000.00€590.00€764.3030
Jan ’24€696.00
€781.16
+12.2%
8.9%€910.00€590.00€738.3031
Dec ’23€718.20
€778.97
+8.5%
8.4%€910.00€590.00€697.9031
Nov ’23€649.70
€775.72
+19.4%
8.6%€910.00€590.00€676.6032

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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