Compagnie Financière Richemont SA

SWX:CFR Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 71.6b

Compagnie Financière Richemont Valuation

Is CFR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CFR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CFR (CHF121.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF145.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CFR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CFR?

Key metric: As CFR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CFR. This is calculated by dividing CFR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CFR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.6x
Earnings€3.39b
Market Cap€76.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CFR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CFR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.5x
UHR Swatch Group
16.7x15.6%CHF 8.6b
CDI Christian Dior
17.1xn/a€99.6b
ADS adidas
100.8x38.1%€38.4b
LULU Lululemon Athletica
23.3x7.4%US$39.3b
CFR Compagnie Financière Richemont
22.6x9.4%CHF 71.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CFR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the peer average (39.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CFR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CFR 22.6xIndustry Avg. 14.2xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CFR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CFR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.6x
Fair PE Ratio21.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CFR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 121.25
CHF 139.78
+15.3%
10.1%CHF 157.73CHF 96.60n/a28
Nov ’25CHF 126.55
CHF 143.79
+13.6%
10.1%CHF 157.50CHF 97.46n/a28
Oct ’25CHF 130.80
CHF 141.87
+8.5%
10.4%CHF 155.28CHF 96.76n/a27
Sep ’25CHF 133.85
CHF 148.34
+10.8%
10.0%CHF 162.79CHF 97.07n/a27
Aug ’25CHF 134.00
CHF 149.00
+11.2%
9.1%CHF 164.95CHF 97.38n/a28
Jul ’25CHF 140.55
CHF 154.84
+10.2%
6.7%CHF 169.70CHF 116.93n/a27
Jun ’25CHF 144.05
CHF 152.53
+5.9%
8.5%CHF 167.12CHF 118.93n/a27
May ’25CHF 127.90
CHF 147.88
+15.6%
9.7%CHF 169.14CHF 118.78n/a27
Apr ’25CHF 137.50
CHF 145.57
+5.9%
9.3%CHF 166.00CHF 118.21n/a26
Mar ’25CHF 143.15
CHF 144.23
+0.8%
9.7%CHF 166.00CHF 115.91n/a27
Feb ’25CHF 128.50
CHF 137.55
+7.0%
9.8%CHF 164.42CHF 113.28n/a26
Jan ’25CHF 115.75
CHF 137.38
+18.7%
9.6%CHF 164.87CHF 112.80n/a26
Dec ’24CHF 109.95
CHF 136.48
+24.1%
13.8%CHF 166.57CHF 81.83n/a26
Nov ’24CHF 106.80
CHF 151.03
+41.4%
11.1%CHF 182.94CHF 114.68CHF 126.5525
Oct ’24CHF 112.00
CHF 158.50
+41.5%
11.5%CHF 192.47CHF 115.28CHF 130.8025
Sep ’24CHF 124.60
CHF 165.86
+33.1%
11.1%CHF 198.35CHF 113.69CHF 133.8525
Aug ’24CHF 140.30
CHF 165.40
+17.9%
11.9%CHF 199.19CHF 114.17CHF 134.0026
Jul ’24CHF 151.65
CHF 170.07
+12.1%
12.6%CHF 199.55CHF 113.50CHF 140.5526
Jun ’24CHF 142.50
CHF 165.36
+16.0%
14.5%CHF 200.30CHF 110.20CHF 144.0527
May ’24CHF 146.95
CHF 151.58
+3.1%
13.5%CHF 184.66CHF 107.41CHF 127.9027
Apr ’24CHF 145.90
CHF 151.53
+3.9%
12.8%CHF 185.14CHF 108.92CHF 137.5027
Mar ’24CHF 142.65
CHF 148.55
+4.1%
11.8%CHF 184.59CHF 109.37CHF 143.1528
Feb ’24CHF 140.55
CHF 146.71
+4.4%
11.0%CHF 169.89CHF 109.24CHF 128.5027
Jan ’24CHF 119.90
CHF 137.63
+14.8%
11.3%CHF 170.21CHF 105.22CHF 115.7527
Dec ’23CHF 123.00
CHF 137.04
+11.4%
11.5%CHF 170.26CHF 105.25CHF 109.9527
Nov ’23CHF 101.10
CHF 133.66
+32.2%
12.8%CHF 172.84CHF 105.55CHF 106.8027

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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