Stabilus Valuation

Is STA2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STA2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STA2 (€33.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€63.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STA2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STA2?

Key metric: As STA2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for STA2. This is calculated by dividing STA2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is STA2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
Earnings€72.00m
Market Cap€811.40m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STA2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STA2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.9x
SEM Semperit Holding
15.8x47.0%€236.6m
ANDR Andritz
10.6x5.2%€5.3b
PAL Palfinger
6.3x-0.3%€678.0m
POS PORR
6.8x15.8%€602.5m
STA2 Stabilus
11.3x16.6%€811.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STA2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (9.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STA2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
STA2 11.3xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies31PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STA2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STA2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STA2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: STA2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STA2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€33.10
€58.25
+76.0%
8.6%€65.00€48.00n/a8
Nov ’25€36.95
€60.25
+63.1%
10.5%€68.00€48.00n/a8
Oct ’25€36.55
€60.25
+64.8%
10.5%€68.00€48.00n/a8
Sep ’25€39.65
€61.78
+55.8%
11.7%€72.00€48.00n/a9
Aug ’25€44.40
€61.78
+39.1%
11.7%€72.00€48.00n/a9
Jul ’25€43.50
€65.89
+51.5%
15.7%€88.00€48.00n/a9
Jun ’25€57.30
€74.17
+29.4%
11.7%€88.00€59.00n/a9
May ’25€58.30
€75.33
+29.2%
10.7%€88.00€59.00n/a9
Apr ’25€59.30
€75.33
+27.0%
10.7%€88.00€59.00n/a9
Mar ’25€61.05
€75.33
+23.4%
10.7%€88.00€59.00n/a9
Feb ’25€65.30
€74.89
+14.7%
12.0%€88.00€55.00n/a9
Jan ’25€61.85
€73.00
+18.0%
11.2%€83.00€55.00n/a9
Dec ’24€57.95
€73.00
+26.0%
11.2%€83.00€55.00n/a9
Nov ’24€60.25
€72.67
+20.6%
12.6%€88.00€55.00€36.959
Oct ’24€53.00
€70.67
+33.3%
9.7%€80.00€55.00€36.559
Sep ’24€51.05
€70.67
+38.4%
9.7%€80.00€55.00€39.659
Aug ’24€53.45
€70.67
+32.2%
9.7%€80.00€55.00€44.409
Jul ’24€55.05
€72.56
+31.8%
9.0%€80.00€60.00€43.509
Jun ’24€56.30
€73.00
+29.7%
8.8%€80.00€60.00€57.309
May ’24€58.90
€73.00
+23.9%
9.0%€80.00€60.00€58.309
Apr ’24€64.60
€73.00
+13.0%
9.0%€80.00€60.00€59.309
Mar ’24€64.00
€73.00
+14.1%
9.0%€80.00€60.00€61.059
Feb ’24€62.60
€72.00
+15.0%
8.5%€80.00€60.00€65.309
Jan ’24€63.05
€69.67
+10.5%
11.3%€80.00€56.00€61.859
Dec ’23€62.90
€66.22
+5.3%
14.6%€80.00€48.00€57.959
Nov ’23€56.15
€65.83
+17.2%
14.1%€78.00€48.00€60.259

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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