Stock Analysis

Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On Semperit Aktiengesellschaft Holding (VIE:SEM)

WBAG:SEM
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Today is shaping up negative for Semperit Aktiengesellschaft Holding (VIE:SEM) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative.

After the downgrade, the consensus from Semperit Holding's three analysts is for revenues of €656m in 2023, which would reflect a not inconsiderable 16% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Before the latest update, the analysts were foreseeing €839m of revenue in 2023. The consensus view seems to have become more pessimistic on Semperit Holding, noting the sizeable cut to revenue estimates in this update.

Check out our latest analysis for Semperit Holding

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WBAG:SEM Earnings and Revenue Growth April 20th 2023

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 16% by the end of 2023. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 3.8% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 4.7% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Semperit Holding is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their revenue estimates for this year. They're also anticipating slower revenue growth than the wider market. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on Semperit Holding after today.

Thirsting for more data? We have estimates for Semperit Holding from its three analysts out until 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.