NORMA Group Valuation

Is NOEJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NOEJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NOEJ (€11.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€19.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NOEJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NOEJ?

Key metric: As NOEJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NOEJ. This is calculated by dividing NOEJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NOEJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
Earnings€23.48m
Market Cap€376.61m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NOEJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NOEJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.1x
SEM Semperit Holding
15.8x47.0%€236.6m
ANDR Andritz
10.6x5.2%€5.3b
ROS Rosenbauer International
31.6x62.6%€234.6m
PAL Palfinger
6.3x-0.3%€682.8m
NOEJ NORMA Group
16x36.4%€376.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NOEJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NOEJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOEJ 16.0xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies31PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NOEJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NOEJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NOEJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ratio15.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NOEJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NOEJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.86
€18.87
+59.1%
26.2%€27.00€13.00n/a7
Nov ’25€12.86
€20.16
+56.7%
30.5%€32.00€14.00n/a7
Oct ’25€14.66
€20.59
+40.4%
28.9%€32.00€14.00n/a7
Sep ’25€14.76
€21.16
+43.3%
25.4%€32.00€15.00n/a7
Aug ’25€16.72
€21.30
+27.4%
24.5%€32.00€16.00n/a7
Jul ’25€17.66
€21.30
+20.6%
24.5%€32.00€16.00n/a7
Jun ’25€18.16
€21.30
+17.3%
24.5%€32.00€16.00n/a7
May ’25€18.66
€21.00
+12.5%
26.0%€32.00€16.00n/a7
Apr ’25€17.27
€20.07
+16.2%
26.1%€32.00€16.00n/a7
Mar ’25€14.38
€17.57
+22.2%
12.5%€22.00€15.00n/a7
Feb ’25€15.15
€17.57
+16.0%
12.5%€22.00€15.00n/a7
Jan ’25€16.07
€18.86
+17.3%
17.6%€25.00€16.00n/a7
Dec ’24€15.50
€18.86
+21.7%
17.6%€25.00€16.00n/a7
Nov ’24€16.59
€20.60
+24.2%
16.0%€25.00€16.00€12.867
Oct ’24€17.51
€20.89
+19.3%
15.0%€25.00€16.00€14.667
Sep ’24€16.88
€20.89
+23.7%
15.0%€25.00€16.00€14.767
Aug ’24€15.95
€20.65
+29.5%
14.5%€25.00€16.00€16.728
Jul ’24€16.95
€22.56
+33.1%
21.4%€33.00€16.00€17.668
Jun ’24€16.63
€24.06
+44.7%
28.3%€37.00€16.00€18.168
May ’24€21.26
€25.00
+17.6%
26.0%€37.00€18.00€18.668
Apr ’24€21.74
€25.00
+15.0%
26.0%€37.00€18.00€17.278
Mar ’24€25.56
€25.13
-1.7%
31.8%€40.00€18.00€14.388
Feb ’24€19.61
€22.44
+14.5%
24.5%€37.00€18.00€15.159
Jan ’24€17.03
€22.90
+34.5%
23.7%€37.00€18.00€16.0710
Dec ’23€17.14
€25.27
+47.4%
27.7%€38.00€18.00€15.5011
Nov ’23€16.12
€25.64
+59.0%
25.8%€38.00€18.00€16.5911

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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