Krones Valuation

Is KRN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KRN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KRN (€117.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€540.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KRN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KRN?

Key metric: As KRN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KRN. This is calculated by dividing KRN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KRN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.9x
Earnings€249.41m
Market Cap€3.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KRN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KRN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.9x
ANDR Andritz
10.6x5.2%€5.3b
SEM Semperit Holding
15.8x47.0%€236.6m
STR Strabag
7x-4.7%€4.5b
PAL Palfinger
6.3x-0.3%€682.8m
KRN Krones
14.9x16.2%€3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KRN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (9.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KRN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KRN 14.9xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies31PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KRN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KRN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KRN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ratio12.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KRN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KRN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€117.80
€151.11
+28.3%
8.4%€170.00€125.00n/a9
Nov ’25€119.60
€152.33
+27.4%
8.7%€172.00€127.00n/a9
Oct ’25€127.80
€152.33
+19.2%
8.7%€172.00€127.00n/a9
Sep ’25€124.40
€152.33
+22.5%
8.7%€172.00€127.00n/a9
Aug ’25€122.00
€152.80
+25.2%
7.9%€172.00€130.00n/a10
Jul ’25€119.20
€145.40
+22.0%
6.5%€163.00€130.00n/a10
Jun ’25€126.80
€145.40
+14.7%
6.5%€163.00€130.00n/a10
May ’25€123.60
€142.70
+15.5%
6.6%€163.00€129.00n/a10
Apr ’25€122.40
€137.10
+12.0%
8.2%€158.00€112.00n/a10
Mar ’25€115.10
€136.60
+18.7%
8.2%€158.00€112.00n/a10
Feb ’25€115.30
€133.80
+16.0%
8.2%€156.00€112.00n/a10
Jan ’25€112.30
€131.70
+17.3%
8.1%€156.00€112.00n/a10
Dec ’24€105.40
€131.70
+25.0%
8.1%€156.00€112.00n/a10
Nov ’24€90.60
€132.30
+46.0%
9.1%€164.00€115.00€119.6010
Oct ’24€97.55
€132.30
+35.6%
9.1%€164.00€115.00€127.8010
Sep ’24€99.75
€130.90
+31.2%
10.4%€164.00€110.00€124.4010
Aug ’24€101.80
€131.00
+28.7%
10.4%€164.00€110.00€122.0010
Jul ’24€111.20
€130.40
+17.3%
9.2%€156.00€110.00€119.2010
Jun ’24€104.20
€129.30
+24.1%
9.9%€156.00€110.00€126.8010
May ’24€117.90
€128.40
+8.9%
10.4%€156.00€110.00€123.6010
Apr ’24€108.60
€125.70
+15.7%
9.3%€148.00€110.00€122.4010
Mar ’24€114.60
€124.70
+8.8%
9.3%€148.00€110.00€115.1010
Feb ’24€107.20
€117.00
+9.1%
9.4%€138.00€97.00€115.3010
Jan ’24€104.90
€117.00
+11.5%
9.4%€138.00€97.00€112.3010
Dec ’23€109.30
€116.82
+6.9%
9.0%€138.00€97.00€105.4011
Nov ’23€92.95
€113.64
+22.3%
9.9%€129.00€90.00€90.6011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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